bullish

ECM Weekly (23 March 2019) - ESR, Sun Car, Ruhnn, CanSino, Frontage, Wuxi Bio, WiseTech,

638 Views23 Mar 2019 12:52
SUMMARY

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by Smartkarma Insight Providers recently, along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Theme of the week: Block trades/Placements + news flow on upcoming IPOs

Starting with placements, the shareholders of Wuxi Biologics (Cayman) Inc (2269 HK) are back on the market again to sell some shares. They been quite consistent with the selling and our team have covered the company the IPO each of the placements. Wisetech Global (WTC AU) and Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU) also had blocks that were sold earlier this week. The former did excceedingly well post-placement, currently more than 10% above its deal price while the latter had struggled as a result of Kerr and his ex-wife selling a portion of their shares in the company.

As for upcoming IPOs, Hong Kong ECM activity is ramping up. Megvii, the Chinese AI startup is looking to list in Hong Kong or US whereas China Feihe (FEIHE HK) is said to be revisit its US$1bn HK IPO. Ke Yan, CFA, FRM has covered the latter in this insight almost two years ago.

We also heard that Frontage had already met investors and Ke Yan, CFA, FRM has provided preliminary thoughts on valuation in:

Mulsanne Group (previously known as Alpha Smart (GXG)), Xinyi Energy Holdings, CMGE Tech, and 360 ludashi (鲁大师) re-filed their draft prospectuses. We have covered Mulsanne and Xinyi Energy in:

360 ludashi's previous filing indicated that its IPO deal size will be small (<US$100m). However, the updated financials shown an almost 50% YoY PATMI growth which could put its IPO at a borderline deal size of US$100m if growth maintains at 50%.

In the U.S, Yunji Inc. (YJ US) filed for a US$200m IPO. The company runs a Chinese e-commerce site that uses a social platform to promote its products. We will be writing an early note on the company next week.

In Singapore, Eagle Hospitality REIT is said to have started investor education for its IPO while Lendlease is planning to raise up to US$500m for its retail REIT according to media reports.

In other ASEAN markets, there are also a handful of IPOs to watch out for.

  • In Indonesia, Lion Air is said to be targeting US$1bn listing in the third quarter of this year and it is starting to gauge investor interest. MAP Actif has already started pre-marketing its IPO.
  • In Thailand, Kerry Express Thailand is said to have hired banks to prepare for a >US$100m IPO.
  • In Malaysia, QSR Brands (QSR MY) has started to pre-market for its US$500m IPO. Sumeet Singh had previously written an early note:

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 72.3% for IPOs and 64.3% for Placements

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings

  • Yunji (the U.S, ~US$200m)
  • 360 LuDaShi (Hong Kong, potentially >US$100m)
  • CMGE Tech (Hong Kong, re-filed)
  • Mulsanne Group - FKA Alpha Smart - AKA GXG (Hong Kong, re-filed)
  • Xinyi Energy (Hong Kong, re-filed)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

Source: Aequitas Research, Smartkarma

News on Upcoming IPOs

This week Analysis on Upcoming IPO

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO - A Brief History of the Asia Pacific Operations - Eeking Out Growth in China
AscentageAscentage Pharma (亚盛医药) IPO: Too Early for an IPO
Ant FinancialAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Running Out of Steam on Mining Rigs (Part 1)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Value At Risk of Founder's Belief (Part 2)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Take-Aways from Founder's Recent Speech at Tsinghua University (Part 3)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Intense Competition in the 7nm Mining ASIC Market (Part 4)
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

East EduChina East Education (中国东方教育) Pre-IPO - The Company Known for Its Culinary School
China TobacChina Tobacco International (IPO): The Monopolist Will Not Recover
China TobacChina Tobacco Intl (HK) IPO: Proxy For the Chinese Cigarette Consumption
ESRESR Cayman Pre-IPO - A Giant in the Making
ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO - Earnings and Segment Analysis

Frontage

Frontage Holding (方达控股) IPO: More Disclosure Needed to Understand Moat and Growth Prospect

Frontage

Frontage Holding (方达控股) IPO: Updates from 2018 Numbers

Hujiang Edu

Hujiang Education (沪江教育) Pre-IPO - Spending More than It Earns

MicuRxMicuRx Pharma (盟科医药) IPO: Betting on Single Drug in the Not so Attractive Antibiotic Segment
SH Henlius

Shanghai Henlius (复宏汉霖) IPO: Not an Impressive Biosimilar Portfolio

TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO - Performing Better than Qeeka but Growing Much Slower, US$1bn a Stretch
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO - Online -> Online + Offline -> Online -> ?
ShenwanShenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: A Commoditized Broker Business
Viva BioViva Biotech (维亚生物) IPO: When CRO Becomes Early Stage Biotech Investor
South Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 1) - Highly Profitable Operator of Public Golf Courses in Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 2) - Valuation Analysis
Plakor

Plakor IPO Preview (Part 1)

PageDuty

PagerDuty IPO Preview

ZinusZinus IPO Preview (Part 1) - An Amazing Comeback Story (#1 Mattress Brand on Amazon)
India
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotels

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO Review - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
MazagonMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take - Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO - Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Large Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
IndiaMartIndiaMART Pre-IPO - Getting and Retaining Subscribers Seems to Be Difficult
PolycabPolycab India Pre-IPO - Market Leader with Steady Growth but with a Few Unanswered Question
PolycabPolycab IPO: Largest Cables Player, Asset-Heavy Low ROE = Vulnerable to Govt Capex Slowdown
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food
The U.S
RuhnnRuhnn (如涵) Pre-IPO Review- Significant Concentration Risk
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