While the market has aggressively moved the US rates and the rate expectations lower, the European rates are pricing in higher for longer, with a rate hike possibility still on the cards.
In the current market environment, the Dollar crosses are driven by rate differential and sentiment rather than growth differential and geopolitical risk of the Ukraine war.
The Cross rate and the 13-day RSI are overlaid with two standard deviations Bollinger Bands to plot the mean reversion boundaries.
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