Bond holders should be concerned about Europe’s fiscal position, which is less rosy than official numbers suggest, and the looming surge in defence spending. Stay underweight European government bonds.
Europe’s urgently needs to strengthen its defences. There is some catching up to do - Europe still spends half as much as the US’s and the gap has widened.
Weaning itself off US arms won’t be easy or quick. Overweight US defence stocks.
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