Private debt terms indicate stress with high IRR and limited options. Sequencing of fixed obligations drives equity value, not AI demand. Focus on leases, funding, and credible delivery strategy.
What is covered in the Full Insight:
Introduction to Fermi and Project Matador
Capital Structure and Financial Overview
Risks Highlighted in Financial Footnotes
Key Execution Challenges
Conclusion and Investment Considerations
Boomeranged on Fri, 14 Nov 2025 19:03
When published I flagged Fermi’s calendar and Macquarie MOIC risks at $26.84, shares have now lost ~35% (c. $5.5B market cap) at $17.50. Q3 reporting noted a $150m tenant AIAC and bigger gas/capex plans, but the LOI is still not a lease and the 1.5x Macquarie take-out remains. This is still a sequencing and refinancing story, not an AI story, and the same risks remain.