bearish

Fermi

Fermi (FRMI): The Devil Is In The Footnotes, Hidden Risk Triggers

Evan has highlighted this Insight as a Top Pick
525 Views09 Oct 2025 06:58
​Private debt terms indicate stress with high IRR and limited options. Sequencing of fixed obligations drives equity value, not AI demand. Focus on leases, funding, and credible delivery strategy.
What is covered in the Full Insight:
  • Introduction to Fermi and Project Matador
  • Capital Structure and Financial Overview
  • Risks Highlighted in Financial Footnotes
  • Key Execution Challenges
  • Conclusion and Investment Considerations
Boomeranged on Fri, 14 Nov 2025 19:03
When published I flagged Fermi’s calendar and Macquarie MOIC risks at $26.84, shares have now lost ~35% (c. $5.5B market cap) at $17.50. Q3 reporting noted a $150m tenant AIAC and bigger gas/capex plans, but the LOI is still not a lease and the 1.5x Macquarie take-out remains. This is still a sequencing and refinancing story, not an AI story, and the same risks remain.
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