The S&P 500 violated an uptrend that began in November. The violation resolved with the index is testing initial support nearby at the 50 dma at about 5110.
Our analysis of market internals concludes that the decline is nearly done. Sentiment is not sufficiently panicked to be contrarian bullish. Technical conditions are oversold but can become more oversold.
We interpret these conditions as a stock market that’s undergoing final flush before an intermediate-term bottom is formed. We believe any pullback should be temporary and shallow in nature.