We are short shares of Hubspot Inc (HUBS US), an unprofitable SaaS company that, despite the recent downward re-rating of the tech sector, still trades at 20x forward revenue. HubSpot is not worth anything close to its current valuation.
The company is a COVID beneficiary whose future growth will likely pale in comparison to its pandemic-fueled pull-forward in sales. Its expensive products face an increasing plethora of dramatically lower-priced and often superior alternatives, backed by billions of dollars of free-flowing venture capital. Top executives are selling shares and departing.
Naturally, HubSpot doesn’t turn a profit. Should it ever try to, its margins will likely disappoint.
Table of Contents
COMPANY BACKGROUND
HUBSPOT IS PERSISTENTLY UNPROFITABLE
HUBSPOT’S PRODUCTS ARE NOTHING SPECIAL
CAPITAL HAS BEGUN TO FLOW RAPIDLY INTO HUBSPOT’S COMPETITORS
HUBSPOT LEADERSHIP IS IN FLUX AND HAS STEADILY SOLD STOCK
CONCLUSION
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