bullish
Positioning and Imbalances
SUMMARY
- Efforts to identify peak inflation and yields or lows in growth stocks and new investments have not worked in 2022.
- The assumption has been that prices should revert towards the mean once they have moved 3-5 standard deviations away as they have done in the last decade.
- If we use what has happened to yield in the last 35+ years as a framework. You would continue to look for peak yields as soon as we start approaching the trend channel or key resistance and plotting the next financial crisis to coincide with yield reversals.
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