Despite admitting that economic growth is clearly slowing down, the Fed just hiked by another 75 basis points and reiterated the path of least resistance from here is well represented by the Dot Plot: more hikes ahead - all the way to Fed Funds at 3.75%!
And yet, markets have staged a humongous rally led by the most valuation intensive and risk sentiment driven asset classes: Nasdaq and Crypto.
So, what the heck?! It all boils down to how one single sentence Powell pronounced was able to affect the probability distributions investors were projecting for different asset classes. Does it sound complicated? Bear with me: it’s not!
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