Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Trade War/Huawei/GDP/Hong Kong/Macau Nasdaq

US 10yr Yield Bear Spiral Call Has More Risk

Fed Response to Slowing US Growth Supports Risky Assets, but Profit Expectations Become Critical Too

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>US Fed announces QE4 in all but name</li>
<li>Decision to expand balance sheet by US$60 billion/ month via repos</li>
<li>Balance sheet will have to grow by at least another US$300-500 billion, ie circa 20%</li>
<li>This is a major warning for bonds. Previous QEs saw 100-150bp added to yields</li>
</ul>


US Fed announces QE4 in all but name
Decision to expand balance sheet by US$60 billion/ month via repos
Balance sheet will have to grow by at least another US$300-500 billion, ie circa 20%
This is a major warning for bonds. Previous QEs saw 100-150bp added to yields


iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT US)

The Fed Throws in the Powell (Err Towel) ... QE4 Is Here!