bullish

Tracking the AI Cycle : A Macro View

Kok has highlighted this Insight as a Top Pick
240 Views25 Nov 2025 17:25
SUMMARY
  • By tracking chip sales, sector earnings and ICT profit margins our analysis point to an early-to-mid-cycle AI expansion, not an AI-bubble about to implode
  • WSTS data show AI demand in a de-synchronised mode, revealing a multi-speed chip cycle with AI in the fast lane and legacy end-markets still digesting past booms
  • Tech and communication stocks dominate the S&P 500, but unlike 1999 their market and earnings share are broadly matched, suggesting elevated but not irrational pricing provided AI monetisation holds up
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