Surface Strength, Underlying Fragility: Despite record highs in U.S. equities, narrow market breadth, inter-market divergences, and macro-cycle pressures signal growing instability beneath the surface.
Rising Tail Risks: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., fragile Iran-Israel ceasefire) and shifting U.S. trade policy (potential 70% tariffs) threaten to disrupt market momentum and trigger volatility.
Prepare for Inflection: Timing models and liquidity indicators point to a Q3 turning point; investors should rebalance toward quality, raise cash, and deploy tactical hedges ahead of possible late-year turbulence.
Begin exploring Smartkarma's AI-augmented investing intelligence platform with a complimentary Preview Pass to:
Unlock research summaries
Follow top, independent analysts
Receive personalised alerts
Access Analytics, Events and more
Join 55,000+ investors, including top global asset managers overseeing $13+ trillion.