bullish

US Financial Markets: Preparing for a Changing of the Guard

325 Views21 Jul 2024 15:37
SUMMARY
  • The media are universal in their belief that a second Trump presidency will produce higher inflation. Fed Chairman Powell would serve the remaining segment of his current term if elected.
  • A further reduction in corporation tax and making the 2017 personal income tax cuts permanent are key fiscal policy goals of President Trump if elected for a second term.
  • Import substitution will raise inflation pressures unless there is supply-side transformation in the economy. Protectionism will reduce capital flows to the detriment of long-term interest rates and dollar exchange rate.
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