bullish
Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 11/14
SUMMARY
- This past week the news was dominated by political midterm election results and a brewing crypto market implosion but also featured a late week rally after a surprising CPI inflation print which beat estimates on Thursday.
- While pundits can posit various reasons for Thursday and Friday’s market rallies, there appears to be at least a few brewing catalysts that could carry positive momentum into 2023 which include 1) continued downside surprises in either CPI or PCE inflation data which would allow the Fed to back off its aggressive tightening campaign 2) steps leading to Chinese economy reopening reducing existing supply chain bottlenecks 3) steps leading to a ceasefire or peace agreement in Ukraine and 4) significant improvement in EU energy security situation resulting in lower EU inflation.
- In the near term, it appears as of this writing that political gridlock in Washington D.C. will be upon us for the next 2 years removing the worst case scenarios of any significant market-negative legislation (i.e. tax hikes, etc.) being passed.
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