Asia Pacific Ex Japan: The Message from Medium-Term Momentum

Managing Director, MTS Research

Peter Beuttell

Managing Director

MTS Research

MTS Research Limited is an independent investment research company specialising in technical analysis. 

MTS Research provides technical analysis services in the form of regular publications and consultancy advice, catering for a number of different investment approaches from absolute or relative returns to long-only and long/short.  The company has a global client base of blue-chip financial institutions ranging in size and stretching from Los Angeles to Tokyo, via New York, London, Frankfurt and Hong Kong.  

MTS was founded in 1989 at the request of Morgan Grenfell Investment Services Limited (MGIS), the ERISA arm of Morgan Grenfell Asset Management (subsequently Deutsche Asset Management), by Peter Beuttell, a Portfolio Manager at MGIS between 1987 and 1989. 

Peter is a qualified Chartered Accountant and self-taught market technician with over 30 years experience.  At MGIS, Peter managed money in European, Australasian and Far East markets for US clients, such as American Airlines and American Petrofina.  He achieved first quartile perfomance on their behalf by blending fundamental and technical analysis in his investment decision-making.  

After an initial focus on the EAFE markets (Europe, Australasia and Far East), the company has recently expanded its coverage to include the Americas, thanks to the recently-completed two-year Knowledge Transfer Partnership with the University of Plymouth.  The resulting software – the Technical Overlay Program (TOP) – allows fund managers to access an immediate Technical view on any market, sector, stock, bond yield, currency or commodity within their selected universe.

MTS Research consists of a team of five based in Penzance and London. 

Technical Analysis

MSCI AC Asia Pacific Excluding Japan Index / Technical Analysis

MSCI AC Asia Pacific Excluding Japan Index (MXAPJ INDEX)

MSCI AC Asia Pacific Excluding Japan Index

In the mid-October piece "The Message from Medium-Term Momentum", I argued that it was too strong for a near-term top, and illustrated three indicators which gave off warning signals at prior important tops over the past 20 years.  At the time, only one of the three contained a signal.Nearly two months on, and no further warning signals have appeared, as you will see in the first chart, but a correction has begun from the area of the 2007 high.The Elliott wave pattern of the past year is a 3rd…

In the mid-October piece "The Message from Medium-Term Momentum", I argued that it was too strong for a near-term top, and illustrated three indicators which gave off warning signals at prior important tops over the past 20 years.  At the time, only one of the three contained a signal.Nearly two months on, and no further warning signals have appeared, as you will see in the first chart, but a correction has begun from the area of the 2007 high.The Elliott wave pattern of the past year is a 3rd…

アジア太平洋（日本を除く）：通常の調整だが、MXAPJ では最大 40 ポイント。