Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Jason Tan

Economist

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>China continues to decelerate as indicators paint a picture of a faltering economy. Particularly, inflation and exports have languished in negative territory while factory output and investments have grown at a slower pace.</li><li>China could be sparking a deflationary spiral in the world economy, as diminished Chinese demand for raw materials have resulted in a steep decline in commodity prices. The downward price pressures seem to have spread to manufactured goods as well.</li><li>EMs are expected to bear the brunt of the deflationary pressures emanating from China, especially commodity exporters and those whose industries face intense competitive pressures. Should China&rsquo;s current account surplus grow exponentially, and dumping becomes more prevalent, China could face increasing protectionism.</li></ul>

China continues to decelerate as indicators paint a picture of a faltering economy. Particularly, inflation and exports have languished in negative territory while factory output and investments have grown at a slower pace.China could be sparking a deflationary spiral in the world economy, as diminished Chinese demand for raw materials have resulted in a steep decline in commodity prices. The downward price pressures seem to have spread to manufactured goods as well.EMs are expected to bear the brunt of the deflationary pressures emanating from China, especially commodity exporters and those whose industries face intense competitive pressures. Should China&rsquo;s current account surplus grow exponentially, and dumping becomes more prevalent, China could face increasing protectionism.

中国が世界経済のデフレスパイラルを誘発