Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

Nasdaq 100 (NDX INDEX) Outlook: Is The Bear Market Over or Not?

Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Slumps as S&P 500 Enters Correction

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)</a> has declined for 4 consecutive weeks. Our model suggests it has entered a price zone where a reversal is highly likely.</li>
<li>Thursday's closing low of 19,225 falls within a price zone where our WEEKLY NDX model assigns a 97% probability of reversal. It's clearly in the tail area and <strong>deeply oversold</strong>.</li>
<li>When the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq 100</a> declines for 4 consecutive weeks, our time model assigns a 98% probability of reversal based on the current historical pattern.</li>
</ul>


The Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) has declined for 4 consecutive weeks. Our model suggests it has entered a price zone where a reversal is highly likely.
Thursday's closing low of 19,225 falls within a price zone where our WEEKLY NDX model assigns a 97% probability of reversal. It's clearly in the tail area and deeply oversold.
When the Nasdaq 100 declines for 4 consecutive weeks, our time model assigns a 98% probability of reversal based on the current historical pattern.


ナスダック100（NDXインデックス）は4週間の低迷後、回復の兆し