Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This note is a weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


This note is a weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | May 10-16, 2024

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Apr 26-May 3, 2024

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Apr 19-25, 2024

Equity Bottom-Up

Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust (“Sasseur REIT”) is the first outlet REIT listed in Asia. Sasseur REIT’s property portfolio comprises four outlets with an estimated appraised value of RMB 8.5 billion and net lettable area of 310,241 square metres. The outlets are strategically located in the high-growth cities of Chongqing, Hefei and Kunming in China and well-positioned to ride on the growth of the rising spending power of the Chinese middle class.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smartkarma-corporate-webinar-sasseur-reit-a-glimpse-into-china-s-outlet-industry" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:127372" rel="noopener">Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Sasseur REIT: A Glimpse into China's Outlet Industry</a> on Feb 29 explored the Oulet sector with <a href="https://investors.sgx.com/securities/reits?security=CRPU" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sasseur REIT</a>, a Singapore REIT focused on China Outlets.</li>
<li>Sasseur REIT is 57.85% owned by the Sasseur Group operating China outlets since 2008, with 4 outlets in 3 major Tier-2 cities currently in the REIT, with room for expansion.</li>
<li>Sasseur REIT is a play on China consumption and outlet operations. 2023 EMA rental income +10.7% Y/Y.  The 9.1% dividend yield stands out, at a relatively low aggregate leverage.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>This Insight is part of the Smartkarma Corporate Webinar series, supported by SGX through the Investor Education Fund.</em></p>


The Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Sasseur REIT: A Glimpse into China's Outlet Industry on Feb 29 explored the Oulet sector with Sasseur REIT, a Singapore REIT focused on China Outlets.
Sasseur REIT is 57.85% owned by the Sasseur Group operating China outlets since 2008, with 4 outlets in 3 major Tier-2 cities currently in the REIT, with room for expansion.
Sasseur REIT is a play on China consumption and outlet operations. 2023 EMA rental income +10.7% Y/Y.  The 9.1% dividend yield stands out, at a relatively low aggregate leverage.

This Insight is part of the Smartkarma Corporate Webinar series, supported by SGX through the Investor Education Fund.

Sasseur REIT (SGX: CRPU) - A Play On China Consumption Via The Operations-Focused Outlet Sector

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Mar 22-28, 2024

Robert is the Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst of Real Estate Foresight Ltd (REF) (www.realestateforesight.com), an independent analytics, research, and consulting firm based in Hong Kong and focused on the Mainland China property markets. 

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development.

This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities.

The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

More info: https://www.realestateforesight.com

Robert started the company in 2012, after 13 years at Thomson Reuters in two major roles as Global Head of Real Estate Markets (London/Hong Kong) and earlier as Head of Corporate Foresight in Group Strategy in London. He holds a dual MBA degree from London Business School and Columbia Business School in New York, and MSc from Warsaw School of Economics. Robert holds an international master in chess title.

In 2017, Robert founded Robotic Online Intelligence Ltd (ROI) (www.roboticonline.ai), a startup in AI-powered automation of research for data collection and market intelligence, serving primarily data companies and research firms. 

ROI's Kubro(TM) Information Engine enterprise SaaS solution has been deployed commercially since 2018, with clients in the US, UK, and Asia, in areas ranging from real estate, and policy research, to data centers, and carbon and digital asset markets.