Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>MBK Partners will launch a tender offer for ConnectWave from today to May 24th. The target volume is 16.6M shares (40% of SO) at ₩18,000 per share, a 15.6% premium.</li>
<li>MBK commits to acquiring all tendered shares, regardless of subscription rates, in order to expedite the delisting process. So, there is no cancellation or allocation risk.</li>
<li>ConnectWave's retail investor base, with high entry prices, may hinder reaching 70% of the target volume. Absence of risks suggests considering buy positions for potential secondary tender offer.</li>
</ul>


MBK Partners will launch a tender offer for ConnectWave from today to May 24th. The target volume is 16.6M shares (40% of SO) at ₩18,000 per share, a 15.6% premium.
MBK commits to acquiring all tendered shares, regardless of subscription rates, in order to expedite the delisting process. So, there is no cancellation or allocation risk.
ConnectWave's retail investor base, with high entry prices, may hinder reaching 70% of the target volume. Absence of risks suggests considering buy positions for potential secondary tender offer.


MBK's ConnectWave Tender Offer: Details & Trading Angles

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantm-intellectual-property" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24317:1" rel="noopener">Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)</a>, China TCM.
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roland-dg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10653:1" rel="noopener">Roland DG Corp (6789 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mma-offshore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:594:1" rel="noopener">Mma Offshore (MRM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmark-property-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40696:1" rel="noopener">Newmark Property REIT (NPR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU), Southern Cross Media (SXL AU), China TCM.

Lowest spreads: Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP), Roland DG Corp (6789 JP), Mma Offshore (MRM AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Newmark Property REIT (NPR AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (29 Apr) - Azure, Silver Lake, Roland DG, CF Logistics, China TCM, Hollysys

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: Premium Soars to +15.2%, Good Level to Consider Shorting the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: Spread Bounces from Lows to Relatively Extreme High of +1.9%; Good Level to Short</li>
<li>ASE: Spread Soars to Near All-Time High of +15.5%; Consider Shorting the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: Premium Soars to +15.2%, Good Level to Consider Shorting the Spread
UMC: Spread Bounces from Lows to Relatively Extreme High of +1.9%; Good Level to Short
ASE: Spread Soars to Near All-Time High of +15.5%; Consider Shorting the Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Spreads Surge to Extremes; CHT Shorts Massing Pre-Earnings

<ul>
<li>Mediatek Enjoying a Massive Rebound for its Mobile Phone Segment; Most Optimistic About High-End Smartphone Demand</li>
<li>New AI Data Center Growth Driver on the Horizon; Recent Investment in U.S. AI Server Chip Startup</li>
<li>Recent Share Price Dip is an Accumulation Opportunity; We Rate Mediatek as a Structural Long</li>
</ul>


Mediatek Enjoying a Massive Rebound for its Mobile Phone Segment; Most Optimistic About High-End Smartphone Demand
New AI Data Center Growth Driver on the Horizon; Recent Investment in U.S. AI Server Chip Startup
Recent Share Price Dip is an Accumulation Opportunity; We Rate Mediatek as a Structural Long


Mediatek Seeing Massive Rebound in Mobile; Major AI Data Center Driver on the Horizon

Japanese Equities, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Equities

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

<ul>
<li>Sumitomo Chemicals aims to transform from a cyclical company with low market share in declining markets into a focused entity with high market share in secular growth markets.</li>
<li>We estimate that the stock’s fair value is about 140% above the current price.</li>
<li>Results meeting on April 30 should confirm that company is on track in returning to positive cash flow and selling off core assets. </li>
</ul>


Sumitomo Chemicals aims to transform from a cyclical company with low market share in declining markets into a focused entity with high market share in secular growth markets.
We estimate that the stock’s fair value is about 140% above the current price.
Results meeting on April 30 should confirm that company is on track in returning to positive cash flow and selling off core assets. 


Sumitomo Chemical (4005): Potential Posterchild of Japan's Resurgence

MBK's ConnectWave Tender Offer: Details & Trading Angles

This post outlines MBK Partners' tender offer for ConnectWave shareholders at a 15% premium and explores potential trading angles.

Sanghyun Park

Merger Arb Mondays (29 Apr) - Azure, Silver Lake, Roland DG, CF Logistics, China TCM, Hollysys

This week, the highest gross spreads are Qantm IP (18.4%), Azure (8.8%), Hollysys (7.9%), Probiotec (7.4%), Southern Cross (7.2%), China TCM...

Arun George

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Spreads Surge to Extremes; CHT Shorts Massing Pre-Earnings

ADR spreads have surged to historically extreme levels for TSMC, ASE, and UMC. For CHT, we note a surge in short interest for its Taiwan shares...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Mediatek Seeing Massive Rebound in Mobile; Major AI Data Center Driver on the Horizon

Mediatek is enjoying strong growth in its mobile phone segment; with notable strength in high-end smartphones. The company could re-rate as its...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Sumitomo Chemical (4005): Potential Posterchild of Japan's Resurgence

If you are buying Japanese stocks because of a belief in the turnaround in corporate governance, Sumitomo Chemical has the potential to become the...

Michael Allen

MBK's ConnectWave Tender Offer: Details & Trading Angles

This post outlines MBK Partners' tender offer for ConnectWave shareholders at a 15% premium and explores potential trading angles.

Sanghyun Park

Merger Arb Mondays (29 Apr) - Azure, Silver Lake, Roland DG, CF Logistics, China TCM, Hollysys

This week, the highest gross spreads are Qantm IP (18.4%), Azure (8.8%), Hollysys (7.9%), Probiotec (7.4%), Southern Cross (7.2%), China TCM...

Arun George

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Spreads Surge to Extremes; CHT Shorts Massing Pre-Earnings

ADR spreads have surged to historically extreme levels for TSMC, ASE, and UMC. For CHT, we note a surge in short interest for its Taiwan shares...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Mediatek Seeing Massive Rebound in Mobile; Major AI Data Center Driver on the Horizon

​Mediatek is enjoying strong growth in its mobile phone segment; with notable strength in high-end smartphones. The company could re-rate as its...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Sumitomo Chemical (4005): Potential Posterchild of Japan's Resurgence

If you are buying Japanese stocks because of a belief in the turnaround in corporate governance, Sumitomo Chemical has the potential to become the...

Michael Allen

Mediatek is enjoying strong growth in its mobile phone segment; with notable strength in high-end smartphones. The company could re-rate as its...