Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Robert is the Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst of Real Estate Foresight Ltd (REF) (www.realestateforesight.com), an independent analytics, research, and consulting firm based in Hong Kong and focused on the Mainland China property markets. 

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development.

This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities.

The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

More info: https://www.realestateforesight.com

Robert started the company in 2012, after 13 years at Thomson Reuters in two major roles as Global Head of Real Estate Markets (London/Hong Kong) and earlier as Head of Corporate Foresight in Group Strategy in London. He holds a dual MBA degree from London Business School and Columbia Business School in New York, and MSc from Warsaw School of Economics. Robert holds an international master in chess title.

In 2017, Robert founded Robotic Online Intelligence Ltd (ROI) (www.roboticonline.ai), a startup in AI-powered automation of research for data collection and market intelligence, serving primarily data companies and research firms. 

ROI's Kubro(TM) Information Engine enterprise SaaS solution has been deployed commercially since 2018, with clients in the US, UK, and Asia, in areas ranging from real estate, and policy research, to data centers, and carbon and digital asset markets.

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

China Housing - WEEKLY Sales Volume Growth (To Aug 6): Tier-1 Extend Decline, Tier-2 Less Negative

China Property: Pace Of Decline In Sales Volumes Stable For 20 Cities Sample - Weekly Data (Jul 23)

China Housing Forecast - Price Growth To Cool Only Gradually In H2 2017 Thanks To Lower Tier Cities

China Property: The Case Of Shanghai - July Update

China Property Cooling: Higher-Frequency Weekly Sales Volumes To Week Ending July 16

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China Real estate management and development / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties (1567411D HK)

Quick takeaway: Sales volumes GFA growth in the 20 cities sample turned slightly more negative, last week's data shows. The GFA volume growth across 20 cities turned slightly more negative on a 4-week rolling y/y basis at -24% (vs -21% the week earlier) and -17% (vs -16%) on a year-to-date year-on-year basis. This pattern was consistent for the Tier-1, and the sample of Tier-2 and lower-tier cities.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/030/832/original/Screen%20Shot%202017-08-01%20at%2016.40.38.png?1501577669" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="30832"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/030/833/original/Screen%20Shot%202017-08-01%20at%2016.41.57.png?1501577694" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="30833"></figure>Guangzhou extended declines, while Shenyang, Wenzhou and Ningbo remain very strong among major…

Quick takeaway: Sales volumes GFA growth in the 20 cities sample turned slightly more negative, last week's data shows. The GFA volume growth across 20 cities turned slightly more negative on a 4-week rolling y/y basis at -24% (vs -21% the week earlier) and -17% (vs -16%) on a year-to-date year-on-year basis. This pattern was consistent for the Tier-1, and the sample of Tier-2 and lower-tier cities.Guangzhou extended declines, while Shenyang, Wenzhou and Ningbo remain very strong among major…

China Housing: Sales Volume Growth Slightly More Negative To Week Ending July 30  (20 Cities Sample)