Focused on the Climate–Nature Nexus., Carbon Tracker Initiative

Carbon Tracker Initiative

Focused on the Climate–Nature Nexus.

Carbon Tracker and Planet Tracker - part of the Tracker Group - are award-winning, non-profit financial think tanks focused on the climate–nature nexus.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The report, Ambition Under Pressure: Analytical Leadership vs. Strategic Hesitation, examines what the climate risk strategy of Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), manager of Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global, reveals about the way financial markets are pricing climate risk.</li>
<li>It finds that NBIM has built one of the most advanced climate and nature risk frameworks among global asset owners.</li>
<li>Its internal modelling goes beyond many market-standard tools, enabling the fund to assess systemic physical climate risk, climate-nature interdependencies and potential macro-financial spillovers across its portfolio.</li>
</ul>


The report, Ambition Under Pressure: Analytical Leadership vs. Strategic Hesitation, examines what the climate risk strategy of Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), manager of Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global, reveals about the way financial markets are pricing climate risk.
It finds that NBIM has built one of the most advanced climate and nature risk frameworks among global asset owners.
Its internal modelling goes beyond many market-standard tools, enabling the fund to assess systemic physical climate risk, climate-nature interdependencies and potential macro-financial spillovers across its portfolio.


Physical Climate Risk: Ambition Under Pressure: Analytical Leadership vs. Strategic Hesitation

<ul>
<li>This report analyses 17 of the world’s largest automakers and identifies a systemic “Carbon Gap” between reported Scope 3 Category 11 emissions and estimated real-world lifecycle emissions.</li>
<li>Across the sector, Carbon Tracker estimates a median reporting gap of 33%, driven by differences between corporate reporting assumptions and real-world vehicle emissions.</li>
<li>Adjusted emissions estimates suggest several automakers are as carbon intensive as traditional oil and gas companies.</li>
</ul>


This report analyses 17 of the world’s largest automakers and identifies a systemic “Carbon Gap” between reported Scope 3 Category 11 emissions and estimated real-world lifecycle emissions.
Across the sector, Carbon Tracker estimates a median reporting gap of 33%, driven by differences between corporate reporting assumptions and real-world vehicle emissions.
Adjusted emissions estimates suggest several automakers are as carbon intensive as traditional oil and gas companies.


Energy Transition: Oil Companies in Disguise

Equity Bottom-Up

Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, and services cars and trucks.  The Company also provides vehicle-related financing, leasing, and insurance through its subsidiary.

<ul><li>Leapfrog to Electric delivers a simple conclusion:Accelerated battery electric vehicle (BEV) adoption in Colombia could save around US$40 billion in cumulative fossil fuel import costs by 2050, while also reducing pollution-related health costs and avoiding climate-related economic damage.</li><li>The report finds that, under a business-as-usual pathway, Colombia’s cumulative road transport fuel import bill could reach US$226bn by 2050.</li><li>Electrification isn’t just cleaner—it is structurally cheaper, strategically smarter, and financially unavoidable.</li></ul>

Leapfrog to Electric delivers a simple conclusion:Accelerated battery electric vehicle (BEV) adoption in Colombia could save around US$40 billion in cumulative fossil fuel import costs by 2050, while also reducing pollution-related health costs and avoiding climate-related economic damage.The report finds that, under a business-as-usual pathway, Colombia’s cumulative road transport fuel import bill could reach US$226bn by 2050.Electrification isn’t just cleaner—it is structurally cheaper, strategically smarter, and financially unavoidable.

Energy Transition: Colombia - Leapfrog to Electric

BYD Company is a Chinese multinational manufacturing conglomerate specializing in new energy technologies. It develops and produces electric vehicles, rechargeable batteries for various applications, mobile handset components, and rail transit systems. The company was founded in February 1995 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.

<ul><li>This report uses outputs from the University of Exeter’s Future Technology Transformations model, calibrated with Carbon Tracker’s proprietary market, asset and cost data, to assess how heavy-duty vehicle markets could evolve as battery-electric trucks approach TCO parity.</li><li> The analysis focuses on two questions: when the commercial economics are likely to trigger faster adoption, and which manufacturers are best positioned for that transition.</li><li> The analysis indicates that electric truck sales can accelerate rapidly along a non-linear S-curve, creating transition risks for manufacturers with large exposures to internal combustion technology and opportunities for companies better positioned for an increasingly electric market.</li></ul>

This report uses outputs from the University of Exeter’s Future Technology Transformations model, calibrated with Carbon Tracker’s proprietary market, asset and cost data, to assess how heavy-duty vehicle markets could evolve as battery-electric trucks approach TCO parity. The analysis focuses on two questions: when the commercial economics are likely to trigger faster adoption, and which manufacturers are best positioned for that transition. The analysis indicates that electric truck sales can accelerate rapidly along a non-linear S-curve, creating transition risks for manufacturers with large exposures to internal combustion technology and opportunities for companies better positioned for an increasingly electric market.

BYD Company Limited Class H - Trucking’s Tipping Point

<ul><li>Leapfrog to Electric delivers a simple conclusion: Brazil’s ICE‑dependent transport system is an economic liability—and the upside from a rapid BEV transition dwarfs the status quo.</li><li>This analysis shows that sticking with petrol and diesel vehicles exposes Brazil to rising import bills, volatile global oil markets, mounting health burdens, and growing stranded‑asset risks in refining just as global fuel demand declines through the 2030s.</li><li>Electrification isn’t just cleaner—it is structurally cheaper, strategically smarter, and financially unavoidable.</li></ul>

Leapfrog to Electric delivers a simple conclusion: Brazil’s ICE‑dependent transport system is an economic liability—and the upside from a rapid BEV transition dwarfs the status quo.This analysis shows that sticking with petrol and diesel vehicles exposes Brazil to rising import bills, volatile global oil markets, mounting health burdens, and growing stranded‑asset risks in refining just as global fuel demand declines through the 2030s.Electrification isn’t just cleaner—it is structurally cheaper, strategically smarter, and financially unavoidable.

Energy Transition: Brazil - Leapfrog to Electric