Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

APT Medical Inc. engages in development, production and sales of electrophysiology and vascular interventional medical devices. The Company provides coronary artery access and electrophysiological medical devices, peripheral blood vessels and nerve intervention medical devices, and more. APT Medical markets its products worldwide.

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in three changes to the index.</li>
<li>With a big jump in tracking AUM over the last few months, passives will need to trade a lot of stock on implementation date.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.
We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in three changes to the index.
With a big jump in tracking AUM over the last few months, passives will need to trade a lot of stock on implementation date.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher

Amman Mineral Internasional / Event-Driven

PT Amman Mineral Internasional operates as a copper and gold mining company. The Company focuses on exploration, mine development, and mining and processing of copper and gold ore. Amman Mineral Internasional serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>There are 2 constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and 6 constituent changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented at the close on 30 April.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-copper-gold-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28447:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk PT (MDKA IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and 6 constituent changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented at the close on 30 April.
The largest passive inflows are expected in Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ), Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ) and Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk PT (MDKA IJ). 
With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

Suteng Innovation Technology Co., Ltd. operates communication product development businesses. The Company develops radar systems and other products. Suteng Innovation Technology conducts businesses in China.

<ul>
<li>There were only 12 new listings on the Main Board of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> in the first quarter of the year. More than half the listings were in March.</li>
<li>Of those stocks, we only see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (2498 HK)</a> having a chance of being added to the HSCI in June and then into Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There is a big lock-up expiry for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (2498 HK)</a> in July and that should keep the stock under pressure.</li>
</ul>


There were only 12 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the first quarter of the year. More than half the listings were in March.
Of those stocks, we only see Robosense Technology (2498 HK) having a chance of being added to the HSCI in June and then into Southbound Stock Connect.
There is a big lock-up expiry for Robosense Technology (2498 HK) in July and that should keep the stock under pressure.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Robosense (2498 HK) Could Be Added in June

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical / Event-Driven

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. is a pharmaceutical company. The Company researches, produces, and distributes ophthalmic medicines including anti-bacterial products, allergy medicines, cataract preventions, and glaucoma treatments.

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical (300573 CH)

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.</li>
<li>There are overlapping names for the two indices and some of the stocks will also have flows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index - Shang (SH000905 INDEX)</a> trackers.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes between 9-10% for both indices over the last month with the deletes dropping a lot more than the adds.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
There are overlapping names for the two indices and some of the stocks will also have flows from the CSI Smallcap 500 Index - Shang (SH000905 INDEX) trackers.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes between 9-10% for both indices over the last month with the deletes dropping a lot more than the adds.


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Overlap Between the Indices

Bandhan Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank provides accounts checking, savings deposits, money market, mortgage, and term loans services, as well as card facilities and Internet banking services. Bandhan Bank serves customers in India.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy nearly 2 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> while selling over 1 day of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> is one of the best performing banking stocks while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> has been the worst performer over the last two years.</li>
</ul>



Canara Bank (CBK IN) should replace Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) in the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the September rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy nearly 2 days of ADV in Canara Bank (CBK IN) while selling over 1 day of ADV in Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Canara Bank (CBK IN) is one of the best performing banking stocks while Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) has been the worst performer over the last two years.


NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?

Periscope Analytics
Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher

The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by 13%+ since this Insight was published. If you are in, might be prudent to take some...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

Methodology changes means constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index that will be implemented on 30 April. There are big flows and big...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Robosense (2498 HK) Could Be Added in June

Robosense (2498 HK) could be added to the HSCI at the close on 7 June and to Stock Connect from the open 11 June. There is a big lock-up expiry on...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Overlap Between the Indices

Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?

Canara Bank should replace Bandhan Bank in the Nifty Bank Index in Sept. Canara Bank still trades cheaper than its peers. Bandhan's recent price...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher

The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by 13%+ since this Insight was published. If you are in, might be prudent to take some...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

Methodology changes means constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index that will be implemented on 30 April. There are big flows and big...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Robosense (2498 HK) Could Be Added in June

Robosense (2498 HK) could be added to the HSCI at the close on 7 June and to Stock Connect from the open 11 June. There is a big lock-up expiry on...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Overlap Between the Indices

Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?

Canara Bank should replace Bandhan Bank in the Nifty Bank Index in Sept. Canara Bank still trades cheaper than its peers. Bandhan's recent price...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Overlap Between the Indices