External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Even though we are trimming our FY22E net profit forecasts, we believe the sector has already bottomed out in 1Q23E, supported by: 1) decent YTD retail sales growth, 2) turn around in inventory level and retail discounts.</li><li>While we expect a more conservative FY23E guidance by the brands, we do see decent upside surprises from GP margin improvements, helped by better retail discounts and cheaper input costs, etc.</li><li>Therefore, for brands with a higher DTC mix, we believe brands like Anta (2020 HK) and Topsports (6110 HK) are going to outperform.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Even though we are trimming our FY22E net profit forecasts, we believe the sector has already bottomed out in 1Q23E, supported by: 1) decent YTD retail sales growth, 2) turn around in inventory level and retail discounts.While we expect a more conservative FY23E guidance by the brands, we do see decent upside surprises from GP margin improvements, helped by better retail discounts and cheaper input costs, etc.Therefore, for brands with a higher DTC mix, we believe brands like Anta (2020 HK) and Topsports (6110 HK) are going to outperform.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Sportswear Sector – We expect prudent guidance but decent margins

<ul><li>Maintained OUTPERFORM after our Shenzhen Consumer Tour.</li><li>We visited a number of companies (catering, hotel and sportswear brands) and experts (catering &amp; shopping mall operators) during our trip to Shenzhen this week.</li><li>This channel check has strengthened our OUTPERFORM view on the Consumer discretionary sector, backed by 3 trends</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintained OUTPERFORM after our Shenzhen Consumer Tour.We visited a number of companies (catering, hotel and sportswear brands) and experts (catering &amp; shopping mall operators) during our trip to Shenzhen this week.This channel check has strengthened our OUTPERFORM view on the Consumer discretionary sector, backed by 3 trendsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Sector – Shenzhen Trip: sustained growth in Feb 2023

<ul><li>Remarkable recovery vs 4Q22, improving spending power and excellent sustainability.</li><li>We believe the data points during the 2023 Chinese New Year are better than our expectation and meaningfully encouraging for the consumer sector, because: 1) the base was high in 2022, as the number of COVID-19 cases were very limited during Jan-Feb 2022 and the number of passenger journeys already grew by 31% YoY</li><li>2) the improvement is significant vs 4Q22, supported by the 89%/ 73% recovery rate of domestic tourism volume/ spending during this CNY, better than 61%/ 44% in the 10-1 holidays and any level in the entire 2022 year,</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Remarkable recovery vs 4Q22, improving spending power and excellent sustainability.We believe the data points during the 2023 Chinese New Year are better than our expectation and meaningfully encouraging for the consumer sector, because: 1) the base was high in 2022, as the number of COVID-19 cases were very limited during Jan-Feb 2022 and the number of passenger journeys already grew by 31% YoY2) the improvement is significant vs 4Q22, supported by the 89%/ 73% recovery rate of domestic tourism volume/ spending during this CNY, better than 61%/ 44% in the 10-1 holidays and any level in the entire 2022 year,Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Sector – Strong recovery and sustainability during CNY

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY and raise our TP to HK$ 128.94, based on 31x FY23E P/E (based on 1 s.d. above the 5-year average, up from 25x).</li><li>We still believe the sector can continue to re-rate as turnaround is likely in FY23E, even though the valuation is not too cheap and base was high in 1Q22.</li><li>Current valuation of 26x FY23E P/E is not too demanding, vs 5-year average of 26x and int’l peers’ average of 20x.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY and raise our TP to HK$ 128.94, based on 31x FY23E P/E (based on 1 s.d. above the 5-year average, up from 25x).We still believe the sector can continue to re-rate as turnaround is likely in FY23E, even though the valuation is not too cheap and base was high in 1Q22.Current valuation of 26x FY23E P/E is not too demanding, vs 5-year average of 26x and int’l peers’ average of 20x.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Anta Sports (2020 HK) – Turnaround is in sight in 2Q23E

<ul><li>Resilient online sales growth during double 11, where Tik Tok, PDD and JD platforms continued to outperform.</li><li>Based on our channel check and CMBI est., the online GMV growth during 2022’s double 11 was at ~14% YoY, inline with CMBI est. and beat market expectation, similar to online sales growth in Sep 2022 and had picked up vs Oct 2022.</li><li>In terms of platforms, YoY growth for Alibaba (Tmall + Tao Bao)/ JD/ PDD/ TikTok increased by ~flattish/ ~teens/ 27%/ 38%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Resilient online sales growth during double 11, where Tik Tok, PDD and JD platforms continued to outperform.Based on our channel check and CMBI est., the online GMV growth during 2022’s double 11 was at ~14% YoY, inline with CMBI est. and beat market expectation, similar to online sales growth in Sep 2022 and had picked up vs Oct 2022.In terms of platforms, YoY growth for Alibaba (Tmall + Tao Bao)/ JD/ PDD/ TikTok increased by ~flattish/ ~teens/ 27%/ 38%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Sportswear Sector – Sequential improvements during double 11

China

ANTA Sports Products Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and markets sportswear, including sports footwear and apparel for professionals and the general public.

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Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)

China Sportswear Sector – We expect prudent guidance but decent margins

While we expect a more conservative FY23E guidance by the brands, we do see decent upside surprises from GP margin improvements, helped by better...

CMB International

China Consumer Sector – Shenzhen Trip: sustained growth in Feb 2023

We visited a number of companies (catering, hotel and sportswear brands) and experts (catering & shopping mall operators) during our trip to...

CMB International

China Consumer Sector – Strong recovery and sustainability during CNY

We believe the data points during the 2023 Chinese New Year are better than our expectation and meaningfully encouraging for the consumer sector

CMB International

Anta Sports (2020 HK) – Turnaround is in sight in 2Q23E

Maintain BUY and raise our TP to HK$ 128.94, based on 31x FY23E P/E (based on 1 s.d. above the 5-year average, up from 25x).

CMB International

China Sportswear Sector – Sequential improvements during double 11

Based on our channel check and CMBI est., the online GMV growth during 2022’s double 11 was at ~14% YoY, inline with CMBI est. and beat market...

CMB International

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