Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Orient Overseas International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao</a> plus the deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings</a> takes us to 69 index stocks.</li>
<li>Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.43% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$7,444m.</li>
<li>There is huge short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a> and there could be some short covering from now to implementation.</li>
</ul>


The inclusion of Orient Overseas International, Zhongsheng Group, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) and China Hongqiao plus the deletion of AAC Technologies Holdings takes us to 69 index stocks.
Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.43% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$7,444m.
There is huge short interest on Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) and China Hongqiao (1378 HK) and there could be some short covering from now to implementation.


HSI Index Rebalance: Four Weddings & A Funeral

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 6th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight week on week short spike in Bilibili, and Sany Heavy. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 6th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight week on week short spike in Bilibili, and Sany Heavy. 


HK Short Interest: Short Spikes for Bilibili, Sany Heavy

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 29th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short interest increases in Meituan, JD.com and short covers for CMB, Shenzhou International, Pacific Basin.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 29th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short interest increases in Meituan, JD.com and short covers for CMB, Shenzhou International, Pacific Basin.


HK Short Interest: Short Spikes in Meituan, JD.com

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China Meidong Auto (1268 HK)</a> trades at a 12x/9x PE FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price (assuming an 80% payout ratio).</li>
<li>In buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China Meidong Auto (1268 HK)</a>, you get an industry leader in the dealership space with supreme execution (35% ROE/47% CAGR profit growth/best capital allocator).</li>
<li>The integration of the Starchase Porsche Dealerships provides an upside potential, as the management, with their superior track record, can significantly improve the target's operations.</li>
</ul>



China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) trades at a 12x/9x PE FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price (assuming an 80% payout ratio).
In buying China Meidong Auto (1268 HK), you get an industry leader in the dealership space with supreme execution (35% ROE/47% CAGR profit growth/best capital allocator).
The integration of the Starchase Porsche Dealerships provides an upside potential, as the management, with their superior track record, can significantly improve the target's operations.


China Meidong: Back the Porsche at 20 HKD

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

China

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd. retails automobiles.  The Company imports and retails primarily luxury and mid- to high-end automobile brands.

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Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)

HSI Index Rebalance: Four Weddings & A Funeral

There are 4 adds & 1 delete to take the number of HSI members to 69. There is reasonable impact on the stocks and huge short interest on some of...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest: Short Spikes for Bilibili, Sany Heavy

We highlight week on week short spike in Bilibili (9626 HK), and Sany Heavy (631 HK) based on the latest HK SFC Short Aggregate report..

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest: Short Spikes in Meituan, JD.com

We highlight weekly short interest increases in Meituan, JD.com and short covers for CMB, Shenzhou International, Pacific Basin based on the latest...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Meidong: Back the Porsche at 20 HKD

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) trades at a 12x/9x FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price ( assuming an 80% payout ratio ). We...

Sameer Taneja

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

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