Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KT’s foreign room is likely staying below 3.75% for November, setting up an ETF recall play. We've seen short-term buying pressure in similar past index reshuffles.</li>
<li>The ETF recall impact peaks right after the announcement. KT’s May downweight saw a 5% spike in two trading days post-announcement.</li>
<li>KT’s price moves more with downweights than SK Telecom’s because of higher overseas borrowing demand. This trend should hold, so setting up a position before the November announcement makes sense.</li>
</ul>


KT’s foreign room is likely staying below 3.75% for November, setting up an ETF recall play. We've seen short-term buying pressure in similar past index reshuffles.
The ETF recall impact peaks right after the announcement. KT’s May downweight saw a 5% spike in two trading days post-announcement.
KT’s price moves more with downweights than SK Telecom’s because of higher overseas borrowing demand. This trend should hold, so setting up a position before the November announcement makes sense.


Timing a Trade to Capitalize on KT’s November Global Index Deletion and the ETF Recall

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 168% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 82%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 168% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 82%


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Foreign investors have continued buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> and the stock has outperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a>, though not by a lot. </li>
<li>Foreign buying has pushed foreign room in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> below 3.75% and the stock could be deleted from a global index at the next rebalance.</li>
<li>There will be some interesting trading dynamics in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> over the next couple of months and there will be trading opportunities versus its peers.</li>
</ul>


Foreign investors have continued buying KT Corp (030200 KS) and the stock has outperformed SK Telecom (017670 KS), though not by a lot. 
Foreign buying has pushed foreign room in KT Corp (030200 KS) below 3.75% and the stock could be deleted from a global index at the next rebalance.
There will be some interesting trading dynamics in KT Corp (030200 KS) over the next couple of months and there will be trading opportunities versus its peers.


KT Corp (030200 KS): Foreign Room Drops Below Critical Level; Passive Selling to Come

<ul>
<li>The market is watching closely for when Hyundai Motor might sell its 5% stake in Korea Zinc, with the lockup ending on October 7th.</li>
<li>Hyundai might mediate to end the lawsuit and lift the injunction, potentially agreeing to sell the stake to a third party or on the market.</li>
<li>The uncertainty around Hyundai’s Korea Zinc stake sale makes trading challenging, but its actions in Q4 could significantly affect Korea Zinc’s stock price and create trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>


The market is watching closely for when Hyundai Motor might sell its 5% stake in Korea Zinc, with the lockup ending on October 7th.
Hyundai might mediate to end the lawsuit and lift the injunction, potentially agreeing to sell the stake to a third party or on the market.
The uncertainty around Hyundai’s Korea Zinc stake sale makes trading challenging, but its actions in Q4 could significantly affect Korea Zinc’s stock price and create trading opportunities.


Trading Situation for Hyundai Motor's 5% Stake in Korea Zinc, Set to Be Unlocked in October

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide an update on the K Bank IPO, which is more likely in 1H 2025. K Bank is one of the largest Internet-only banks in Korea. </li>
<li>A successful IPO of K Bank could have a positive impact on KT Corp (030200 KS) which is the indirectly the largest shareholder of K Bank. </li>
<li>K Bank had total operating income of 51.5 billion won (up 328% YoY) in 1Q 2024. Operating margin improved materially from 5.7% in 1Q 2023 to 19.5% in 1Q 2024.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide an update on the K Bank IPO, which is more likely in 1H 2025. K Bank is one of the largest Internet-only banks in Korea. 
A successful IPO of K Bank could have a positive impact on KT Corp (030200 KS) which is the indirectly the largest shareholder of K Bank. 
K Bank had total operating income of 51.5 billion won (up 328% YoY) in 1Q 2024. Operating margin improved materially from 5.7% in 1Q 2023 to 19.5% in 1Q 2024.


South Korea

KT Corporation provides telecommunication services including local, long distance, and international calling, satellite communication, data transmission, and wireless telephone services in South Korea.  The Company also offers network portal and high-speed Internet access services using asymmetric digital subscriber lines (ADSLs).

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KT Corp (030200 KS)

Timing a Trade to Capitalize on KT’s November Global Index Deletion and the ETF Recall

This post discusses the high likelihood of KT being booted from the November Global Index review due to its foreign room staying below 3.75%, and...

Sanghyun Park

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 46

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

KT Corp (030200 KS): Foreign Room Drops Below Critical Level; Passive Selling to Come

KT Corp's foreign room has dropped below 3.75% and that could result in deletion from a global index in November. Foreign buying has been...

Brian Freitas

Trading Situation for Hyundai Motor's 5% Stake in Korea Zinc, Set to Be Unlocked in October

This post explores the Korea Zinc proxy battle and examines how Hyundai Motor's 5% stake, set to be released in October, factors into the mix.

Sanghyun Park

Initial Thoughts on the K Bank IPO

Update on K Bank IPO: Likely in 1H 2025, potential positive impact on KT Corp as largest indirect shareholder, impressive financial growth in 1Q...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Timing a Trade to Capitalize on KT’s November Global Index Deletion and the ETF Recall

This post discusses the high likelihood of KT being booted from the November Global Index review due to its foreign room staying below 3.75%, and...

Sanghyun Park

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 46

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

KT Corp (030200 KS): Foreign Room Drops Below Critical Level; Passive Selling to Come

KT Corp's foreign room has dropped below 3.75% and that could result in deletion from a global index in November. Foreign buying has been...

Brian Freitas

Trading Situation for Hyundai Motor's 5% Stake in Korea Zinc, Set to Be Unlocked in October

This post explores the Korea Zinc proxy battle and examines how Hyundai Motor's 5% stake, set to be released in October, factors into the mix.

Sanghyun Park

Initial Thoughts on the K Bank IPO

​Update on K Bank IPO: Likely in 1H 2025, potential positive impact on KT Corp as largest indirect shareholder, impressive financial growth in 1Q...

Douglas Kim

Update on K Bank IPO: Likely in 1H 2025, potential positive impact on KT Corp as largest indirect shareholder, impressive financial growth in 1Q...