Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Agricultural Bank Of China / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HK$77bn/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last week vs HK$88bn the week before, HK$100+bn the week before. Gross flows are winding down.</li>
<li>Watch for news on the Dual Counter (RMB) Trading eligibility for SOUTHBOUND near-term. That could re-up the pace. The SFC expected it "<a href="https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/hong-kong-bourses-chinese-yuan-counter-to-soon-join-stock-connect-with-mainland-official-says" target="_blank" rel="noopener">soon</a>" in July. Later, by year-end.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HK$77bn/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last week vs HK$88bn the week before, HK$100+bn the week before. Gross flows are winding down.
Watch for news on the Dual Counter (RMB) Trading eligibility for SOUTHBOUND near-term. That could re-up the pace. The SFC expected it "soon" in July. Later, by year-end.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 12 Dec 2025) - Lower Activity, Net Sell This Week,

<ul>
<li>Hs outperformed As on average, slightly, within the AH pair universe. Last week's reco gained vs the A on the week, but not Monday close to Friday. Stay long.</li>
<li>There are nine new recos this week after a bunch of trades were closed last week.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Hs outperformed As on average, slightly, within the AH pair universe. Last week's reco gained vs the A on the week, but not Monday close to Friday. Stay long.
There are nine new recos this week after a bunch of trades were closed last week.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 14 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Still Behaving Badly, SOE Pair Hs Better

Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,200+ Insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma</li>
<li>In this cut, we explore A-H share trading dynamics, consider copper market dynamics and plays, and China's bottoming/stabilizing real estate market</li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,200+ Insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma
In this cut, we explore A-H share trading dynamics, consider copper market dynamics and plays, and China's bottoming/stabilizing real estate market
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next


Curator's Cut: Arbs Go A-H, Copper Plays & China's Property Pulse

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.7% as of Dec 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.1ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, energy, information technology and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, CNOOC, Cgn Power, Baiyunshan Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.7% as of Dec 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.1ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, energy, information technology and offset by communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, CNOOC, Cgn Power, Baiyunshan Pharma.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 12th): MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Tencent, CMB, Alibaba, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Tencent, CMB, Alibaba, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology, BYD.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 12th): Xiaomi Inflows & Tencent/Alibaba Outflows

China

Agricultural Bank of China Limited provides a full range of commercial banking services. The Banks services includes RMB and foreign currency deposit, loan, international and domestic settlement, bill discount, currency trading, bank guarantee, and treasury bill underwriting.

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Agricultural Bank Of China (1288 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 12 Dec 2025) - Lower Activity, Net Sell This Week,

SOUTHBOUND saw low gross activity and net selling for the first week in quite a while. It is slow into year-end. Within H/A Pairs, Hs...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 14 Nov 2025): Beautiful Skew Still Behaving Badly, SOE Pair Hs Better

Hs outperformed As slightly as HK shares outperformed mainland shares. Sectors were mixed. There was no beautiful skew as the widest spreads...

Travis Lundy

Curator's Cut: Arbs Go A-H, Copper Plays & China's Property Pulse

In this cut, we explore A-H share trading dynamics, consider copper market dynamics and plays, and China's bottoming/stabilizing real estate market.

Pranav Rao

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 12th): MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 12th): Xiaomi Inflows & Tencent/Alibaba Outflows

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, Tencent, CMB, Alibaba, Zhejiang Leapmotor...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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