Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
Macro data points: Chinese PMI data, South Korean exports data.</li>
<li>
Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings (PDD US)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

Macro data points: Chinese PMI data, South Korean exports data.

Companies mentioned:Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT), PDD Holdings (PDD US)



GEMWeekly (1 Nov 2024): China New Home Sales Growth; South Korea Macro; Alibaba, TSMC, PDD

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenues of $13.3 billion, $300 million above the guided midpoint, up 4% QoQ but down 6% YoY</li>
<li>Current quarter guidance of $13.8 billion at the midpoint, up 3.7% QoQ, with the now customary plus or minus $500 million for safety sake</li>
<li>Extraordinary reveals during Q&amp;A including defect density versus mature yield clarification, increasing outsourcing in 2025 &amp; why Lunar Lake is an accidental gross margin killer</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenues of $13.3 billion, $300 million above the guided midpoint, up 4% QoQ but down 6% YoY
Current quarter guidance of $13.8 billion at the midpoint, up 3.7% QoQ, with the now customary plus or minus $500 million for safety sake
Extraordinary reveals during Q&amp;A including defect density versus mature yield clarification, increasing outsourcing in 2025 &amp; why Lunar Lake is an accidental gross margin killer


Intel Q324. Restructuring & Impairment Charges Tank Gross Margin

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>3Q24 Performance Signals Advanced Products Making Major Progress; 20% Topline Growth &amp; Improved China Market Conditions</li>
<li>Flagship Mobile Revenue Leading the Charge in China and Emerging Markets</li>
<li>ASIC and AI Accelerator Progress: Estimate 2025E/2026E Initial Mass Production; Maintain Structural Long Rating.</li>
</ul>


3Q24 Performance Signals Advanced Products Making Major Progress; 20% Topline Growth &amp; Improved China Market Conditions
Flagship Mobile Revenue Leading the Charge in China and Emerging Markets
ASIC and AI Accelerator Progress: Estimate 2025E/2026E Initial Mass Production; Maintain Structural Long Rating.


Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

ASE Technology Holding   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 4Q24 EMS is expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage QoQ in 4Q24, while ATM sales are expected to grow slightly QoQ.</li>
<li>General market hasn’t recovered yet.2024 outlook still seems lukewarm. 2024 market excluding HPC and AI is indeed down YoY. Only AI and leading edge product demand is robust.</li>
<li>Expects 2025 general market demand to have better recovery, more leading edge business opportunities and higher testing sales mix to help GM go up.</li>
</ul>


The 4Q24 EMS is expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage QoQ in 4Q24, while ATM sales are expected to grow slightly QoQ.
General market hasn’t recovered yet.2024 outlook still seems lukewarm. 2024 market excluding HPC and AI is indeed down YoY. Only AI and leading edge product demand is robust.
Expects 2025 general market demand to have better recovery, more leading edge business opportunities and higher testing sales mix to help GM go up.


ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): The Overall 4Q24 Trend Is Slightly Downward QoQ.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

GEMWeekly (1 Nov 2024): China New Home Sales Growth; South Korea Macro; Alibaba, TSMC, PDD

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Intel Q324. Restructuring & Impairment Charges Tank Gross Margin

Q324 $13.3 billion, +4% QoQ but -6% YoY. Q424 guide of $13.8 billion, +3.7% QoQ, but -10,4% YoY. Amazingly frank Q&A session with multiple reveals,...

William Keating

Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): The Overall 4Q24 Trend Is Slightly Downward QoQ.

4Q24 EMS expected to decline, ATM sales to grow slightly. 2024 market still struggling, AI demand robust. 2025 outlook shows promise for recovery...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GEMWeekly (1 Nov 2024): China New Home Sales Growth; South Korea Macro; Alibaba, TSMC, PDD

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Intel Q324. Restructuring & Impairment Charges Tank Gross Margin

Q324 $13.3 billion, +4% QoQ but -6% YoY. Q424 guide of $13.8 billion, +3.7% QoQ, but -10,4% YoY. Amazingly frank Q&A session with multiple reveals,...

William Keating

Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

​Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): The Overall 4Q24 Trend Is Slightly Downward QoQ.

​4Q24 EMS expected to decline, ATM sales to grow slightly. 2024 market still struggling, AI demand robust. 2025 outlook shows promise for recovery...

Patrick Liao

Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.

4Q24 EMS expected to decline, ATM sales to grow slightly. 2024 market still struggling, AI demand robust. 2025 outlook shows promise for recovery...