Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharmaessentia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16461:1" rel="noopener">Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanya-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3269:1" rel="noopener">Nanya Technology (2408 TT)</a> in the Taiwan Top 50 ETF in September. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airtac-international-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20538:1" rel="noopener">Airtac International (1590 TT)</a> has possibly just avoided deletion.</li>
<li>Short interest has been dropping in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharmaessentia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16461:1" rel="noopener">Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT)</a> as the stock has rallied, while cumulative excess volume has continued to increase steadily.</li>
<li>Shorts have increased in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanya-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3269:1" rel="noopener">Nanya Technology (2408 TT)</a> as the stock price dropped. There has been no increase in volume on the recent upmove indicating a possibility of further downside.</li>
</ul>



Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT) could replace Nanya Technology (2408 TT) in the Taiwan Top 50 ETF in September. Airtac International (1590 TT) has possibly just avoided deletion.
Short interest has been dropping in Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT) as the stock has rallied, while cumulative excess volume has continued to increase steadily.
Shorts have increased in Nanya Technology (2408 TT) as the stock price dropped. There has been no increase in volume on the recent upmove indicating a possibility of further downside.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: One Change Expected in Sep

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD967.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD186mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Far Eastone Telecommunications, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Ctbc Financial Holding.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD967.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD186mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Far Eastone Telecommunications, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Ctbc Financial Holding.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 23rd): Far Eastone Telecommunications

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +15.4% Premium; Wait for Closer to 20% Before Opening Fresh Short</li>
<li>UMC: +1.2% Premium; Can Consider Shorting at 1.5% or Higher; Headroom Continues to Decrease</li>
<li>ASE: +5.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Levels Before New Trade</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +15.4% Premium; Wait for Closer to 20% Before Opening Fresh Short
UMC: +1.2% Premium; Can Consider Shorting at 1.5% or Higher; Headroom Continues to Decrease
ASE: +5.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Levels Before New Trade


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Maintaining Strong Premium; UMC Headroom Continues to Decrease

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Silicon Shield 2.0 involves managing risks and building partnerships to secure supply chains in today's economic landscape.</li><li>AMD collaborates with ZT System engineers to simplify rising AI system complexity, enhancing efficiency and productivity.</li><li>Foxconn leverages AI server trading models to increase profits, while Taiwan's president calls for regional de-risking and trade partnerships to adapt to supply chain shifts. #Taiwan #trade #partnerships #supplychain. Innodisk's AI revenue surpasses 20%, foreseeing growth in revenue and profit in the second half of 2024. SK Hynix's revenue doubles in the US and China, attributed to increased AI demand in the first half of 2024. TSMC's new fab in Germany is expected to generate jobs and enhance wafer ecosystems in Europe.</li></ul>

Silicon Shield 2.0 involves managing risks and building partnerships to secure supply chains in today's economic landscape.AMD collaborates with ZT System engineers to simplify rising AI system complexity, enhancing efficiency and productivity.Foxconn leverages AI server trading models to increase profits, while Taiwan's president calls for regional de-risking and trade partnerships to adapt to supply chain shifts. #Taiwan #trade #partnerships #supplychain. Innodisk's AI revenue surpasses 20%, foreseeing growth in revenue and profit in the second half of 2024. SK Hynix's revenue doubles in the US and China, attributed to increased AI demand in the first half of 2024. TSMC's new fab in Germany is expected to generate jobs and enhance wafer ecosystems in Europe.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Aug-2024): Silicon Shield 2.0: supply chain security & diplomacy.

<ul><li>SE Asia &amp; India deploying semi supply chains for efficiency &amp; cost reduction, with focus shifting to automotive &amp; mobile ventures.</li><li>Taiwan leveraging strong semiconductor industry to attract foreign students &amp; enhance industry leadership. </li><li>Wiwynn suing Musk's X over unpaid server bills, UK reassessing semiconductor strategy amid US &amp; China influence. Apple's Foxconn to manufacture iPhone Pro in India, AMD entering AI market with $4.9 billion investment. TSMC building EUR10B fab in Dresden to boost semiconductor industry.</li></ul>

SE Asia &amp; India deploying semi supply chains for efficiency &amp; cost reduction, with focus shifting to automotive &amp; mobile ventures.Taiwan leveraging strong semiconductor industry to attract foreign students &amp; enhance industry leadership. Wiwynn suing Musk's X over unpaid server bills, UK reassessing semiconductor strategy amid US &amp; China influence. Apple's Foxconn to manufacture iPhone Pro in India, AMD entering AI market with $4.9 billion investment. TSMC building EUR10B fab in Dresden to boost semiconductor industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Aug-2024): SE Asia & India semi supply chains deployment

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: One Change Expected in Sep

PharmaEssentia could replace Nanya Tech in the Taiwan Top50 ETF. Shorts have been covering Pharmaessentia and building positions in Nanya Tech....

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 23rd): Far Eastone Telecommunications

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Far Eastone Telecommunications, Taiwan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Maintaining Strong Premium; UMC Headroom Continues to Decrease

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Aug-2024): Silicon Shield 2.0: supply chain security & diplomacy.

Silicon Shield 2.0: AMD, Foxconn, Innodisk, SK Hynix, and TSMC leveraged AI and regional partnerships to secure and grow supply chains amidst...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Aug-2024): SE Asia & India semi supply chains deployment

SE Asia, India, Taiwan, UK, and US focus on semiconductor industry growth and competition, with companies like Xiaomi, Foxconn, AMD, TSMC, and...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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