Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> is the biggest capping sell.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while Alibaba (9988 HK) is the biggest capping sell.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Over the past five trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>
Highlights: 55% of strategies exhibit a bullish bias, with diagonal spreads accounting for 25% of all trades.</li>
<li>
Why read: This breakdown of complex option strategies sheds light on market sentiment and positioning. Detailed examples provide actionable insights that could inspire similar strategies,</li>
</ul>



Context: Over the past five trading days, Xiaomi (1810 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.

Highlights: 55% of strategies exhibit a bullish bias, with diagonal spreads accounting for 25% of all trades.

Why read: This breakdown of complex option strategies sheds light on market sentiment and positioning. Detailed examples provide actionable insights that could inspire similar strategies,


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Top Trades Bet on a Bullish Trend Reversal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Xiaomi’s 3Q revenue/adj.NP growth of 22%/81% YoY are slightly above our/market expectation, driven by fast-growing smart EV business, resilient internet segment and operating efficiency, offsetting weaker smartphone sales.</li><li>During the earnings call, mgmt. discussed investor concerns on memory cost hike and EV purchase tax subsidies.</li><li>Regarding memory pricing upcycle, mgmt. expected smartphone/PC/ tablet GPM pressure will persist in 4Q25/ 2026 despite supplier agreement to secure full-year supply in 2026, and Xiaomi’s smartphone strategy will prioritize share gains over profitability. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi’s 3Q revenue/adj.NP growth of 22%/81% YoY are slightly above our/market expectation, driven by fast-growing smart EV business, resilient internet segment and operating efficiency, offsetting weaker smartphone sales.During the earnings call, mgmt. discussed investor concerns on memory cost hike and EV purchase tax subsidies.Regarding memory pricing upcycle, mgmt. expected smartphone/PC/ tablet GPM pressure will persist in 4Q25/ 2026 despite supplier agreement to secure full-year supply in 2026, and Xiaomi’s smartphone strategy will prioritize share gains over profitability. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 3Q25 Above; Not Immune to Memory Cost Hike...

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi’s total revenue grew by 22% in 3Q25, which mainly came from the startup vehicle business.</li>
<li>The company well controls the gross margin of the vehicle business.</li>
<li>We believe XM has an upside of 60% for the yearend 2025.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi’s total revenue grew by 22% in 3Q25, which mainly came from the startup vehicle business.
The company well controls the gross margin of the vehicle business.
We believe XM has an upside of 60% for the yearend 2025.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): 3Q25, Revenue Up by 22%

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>We expect one index change in December 2025 translating to capping flows of US$530mn one-way.</li>
<li>We also expect seven index changes for the next semiannual index review which will take place in March 2026.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
We expect one index change in December 2025 translating to capping flows of US$530mn one-way.
We also expect seven index changes for the next semiannual index review which will take place in March 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: One Change for Dec25; New Expected ADD/DELs for Mar26

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

The Dec rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Top Trades Bet on a Bullish Trend Reversal

Xiaomi’s top multi-leg option strategies point to rising bullish conviction after the recent sell-off, offering actionable examples for traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 3Q25 Above; Not Immune to Memory Cost Hike...

Xiaomi’s 3Q revenue/adj.NP growth of 22%/81% YoY are slightly above our/market expectation, driven by fast-growing smart EV business, resilient...

CMB International

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 3Q25, Revenue Up by 22%

Xiaomi’s total revenue grew by 22% in 3Q25, which mainly came from vehicle. The company well controls the gross margin of the vehicle business. We...

Ming Lu

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: One Change for Dec25; New Expected ADD/DELs for Mar26

We now see new listings Pony AI (2026 HK), Mininglamp Technology (2718 HK), and Deepexi Technology (1384 HK) to be expected ADDs in March 2026.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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