Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>Expected sequential revenue growth of 13% to 15%, gross margin expected between 18% and 20%.</li>
<li>The company has not increased capacity utilization through price cuts but supports customers in facing competition to maintain market share.</li>
<li>Inventory replenishment behavior will end in the third quarter, and fourth-quarter orders will more accurately reflect actual demand rather than the impact of restocking.</li>
</ul>


Expected sequential revenue growth of 13% to 15%, gross margin expected between 18% and 20%.
The company has not increased capacity utilization through price cuts but supports customers in facing competition to maintain market share.
Inventory replenishment behavior will end in the third quarter, and fourth-quarter orders will more accurately reflect actual demand rather than the impact of restocking.


SMIC (981.HK): Revenue and GM Continued to Trend Up in 3Q24

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Acer's subsidiaries are driving growth, providing resilience and optimism in the face of shifts in the PC market.</li><li>China's smartphone industry is experiencing a boom in the second quarter of 2024, indicating strong potential for growth.</li><li>A potential US ban on Chinese vehicle technology could deepen the technology rift with lasting effects, impacting various industries.</li></ul>

Acer's subsidiaries are driving growth, providing resilience and optimism in the face of shifts in the PC market.China's smartphone industry is experiencing a boom in the second quarter of 2024, indicating strong potential for growth.A potential US ban on Chinese vehicle technology could deepen the technology rift with lasting effects, impacting various industries.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a>'s 2Q24 revenue/GM/OPM/EPS were NTD$9,035mn/40.5%/29.8%/NTD$2.2.</li>
<li>The main reasons of revenue growth shall be the AI aspects, especially the contribution from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a>.</li>
<li>For the upcoming 3Q24, we are keeping a relatively strong confidence of 5-10% growth rate for KYEC.</li>
</ul>



King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)'s 2Q24 revenue/GM/OPM/EPS were NTD$9,035mn/40.5%/29.8%/NTD$2.2.
The main reasons of revenue growth shall be the AI aspects, especially the contribution from NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US).
For the upcoming 3Q24, we are keeping a relatively strong confidence of 5-10% growth rate for KYEC.


KYEC (2449.TT): In 2Q24, Revenue Exceeded Our Expectations, and GM, OPM, and EPS Surprised Us.

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC’s new plants will increase its production capacity for 3-nm chips, aiming to triple output this year. Global market share stands at 18%.</li>
<li>Major tech companies’ increased AI investments are driving demand for TSMC’s advanced semiconductors, crucial for AI and machine learning applications. </li>
<li>TSMC’s automotive solutions output is expected to grow at a 50% CAGR through 2024, addressing global chip shortages in the auto industry.</li>
</ul>


TSMC’s new plants will increase its production capacity for 3-nm chips, aiming to triple output this year. Global market share stands at 18%.
Major tech companies’ increased AI investments are driving demand for TSMC’s advanced semiconductors, crucial for AI and machine learning applications. 
TSMC’s automotive solutions output is expected to grow at a 50% CAGR through 2024, addressing global chip shortages in the auto industry.


TSMC's Expansion Strategy: New Plants and Rising AI Demand Shape Future Growth

<ul>
<li>The 2Q24 revenue was NT$15.3bn, 1.6% QoQ and -14.4% YoY. GM in 2Q24 was 32.3%, -5.8% QQ and -14.3% YoY. OPM in 2Q24 was 22.0%, -16.3% QoQ and -24.1% YoY.</li>
<li>The widespread adoption of AI-driven electronic devices, along with the onset of the AI-powered device replacement cycle, is likely driving increased demand for peripheral ICs and sensors. </li>
<li>With inventory levels gradually depleting and downstream customers ramping up production capacity in 2025, the semiconductor industry is expected to recover in 2H24 and maintain an optimistic outlook for 2025.</li>
</ul>


The 2Q24 revenue was NT$15.3bn, 1.6% QoQ and -14.4% YoY. GM in 2Q24 was 32.3%, -5.8% QQ and -14.3% YoY. OPM in 2Q24 was 22.0%, -16.3% QoQ and -24.1% YoY.
The widespread adoption of AI-driven electronic devices, along with the onset of the AI-powered device replacement cycle, is likely driving increased demand for peripheral ICs and sensors. 
With inventory levels gradually depleting and downstream customers ramping up production capacity in 2025, the semiconductor industry is expected to recover in 2H24 and maintain an optimistic outlook for 2025.


GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

SMIC (981.HK): Revenue and GM Continued to Trend Up in 3Q24

Company expects solid revenue growth and stable gross margins, focusing on supporting customers and anticipating more accurate demand in upcoming...

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

Acer's subsidiaries grow amid PC market changes, China's smartphone market booms, potential US ban on Chinese vehicle tech, Nintendo and Sony face...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

KYEC (2449.TT): In 2Q24, Revenue Exceeded Our Expectations, and GM, OPM, and EPS Surprised Us.

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. reported strong 2Q24 results with revenue growth driven by AI, particularly from NVIDIA Corp. Confidence remains...

Patrick Liao

TSMC's Expansion Strategy: New Plants and Rising AI Demand Shape Future Growth

TSMC plans seven new plants worldwide, boosting production of 3-nm and 2-nm chips. Chips Foundry Market share of 62%, AI sector growth driving demand.

Mint Finance

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025

2Q24 revenue for the semiconductor industry saw a slight QoQ increase but a significant YoY decrease. Recovery expected in 2H24 with an optimistic...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SMIC (981.HK): Revenue and GM Continued to Trend Up in 3Q24

​Company expects solid revenue growth and stable gross margins, focusing on supporting customers and anticipating more accurate demand in upcoming...

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

Acer's subsidiaries grow amid PC market changes, China's smartphone market booms, potential US ban on Chinese vehicle tech, Nintendo and Sony face...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

KYEC (2449.TT): In 2Q24, Revenue Exceeded Our Expectations, and GM, OPM, and EPS Surprised Us.

​King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. reported strong 2Q24 results with revenue growth driven by AI, particularly from NVIDIA Corp. Confidence remains...

Patrick Liao

TSMC's Expansion Strategy: New Plants and Rising AI Demand Shape Future Growth

TSMC plans seven new plants worldwide, boosting production of 3-nm and 2-nm chips. Chips Foundry Market share of 62%, AI sector growth driving demand.

Mint Finance

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025

​2Q24 revenue for the semiconductor industry saw a slight QoQ increase but a significant YoY decrease. Recovery expected in 2H24 with an optimistic...

Patrick Liao

Company expects solid revenue growth and stable gross margins, focusing on supporting customers and anticipating more accurate demand in upcoming...

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. reported strong 2Q24 results with revenue growth driven by AI, particularly from NVIDIA Corp. Confidence remains...

2Q24 revenue for the semiconductor industry saw a slight QoQ increase but a significant YoY decrease. Recovery expected in 2H24 with an optimistic...