Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +9.2% Premium, Major Breakdown From Previous Historically Extreme High</li>
<li>UMC: -1.9% Discount, Is Near Low End of Historical Range</li>
<li>ASE: +10.4%; ADR Short Interest Jumps to Very High Level vs. History</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +9.2% Premium, Major Breakdown From Previous Historically Extreme High
UMC: -1.9% Discount, Is Near Low End of Historical Range
ASE: +10.4%; ADR Short Interest Jumps to Very High Level vs. History


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Breaks Down From Extreme, UMC Discount Near Historical Low

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: China loan growth, GDP growth, Industrial production, Retail sales, New home prices.</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: China loan growth, GDP growth, Industrial production, Retail sales, New home prices.

 Companies mentioned:Baidu (9888 HK), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT), SK Hynix (000660 KS)



GEMWeekly (19 Apr 2024): China Macro Data; Baidu, TSMC, SK Hynix

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.</li>
<li>Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.</li>
<li>ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.</li>
</ul>


A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.
Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.
ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.


Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Strong start to 2024 as majority of GEM funds outperform: Average returns of 2.8% beat the iShares MSCI EM ETF by 0.66%, with 63% of funds outperforming.</li>
<li>Technology Sector Drives Returns: Technology sector the key contributor to returns, with TSMC accounting for just over half of total fund returns on the quarter.</li>
<li>Active vs Passive: Q1 performance adds to GEM active fund's impressive record of outperformance. 5-year average GEM fund returns are +7.4% ahead of the benchmark iShares MSCI EM ETF.</li>
</ul>


Strong start to 2024 as majority of GEM funds outperform: Average returns of 2.8% beat the iShares MSCI EM ETF by 0.66%, with 63% of funds outperforming.
Technology Sector Drives Returns: Technology sector the key contributor to returns, with TSMC accounting for just over half of total fund returns on the quarter.
Active vs Passive: Q1 performance adds to GEM active fund's impressive record of outperformance. 5-year average GEM fund returns are +7.4% ahead of the benchmark iShares MSCI EM ETF.


GEM Funds Outperform in Q1.  Long-Term Active Vs Passive Performance Compelling.

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Declaring a slower recovery for mature nodes was an outlier, indicating that Vanguard's recovery progress might be slower. </li>
<li>Apple's iPhone is expected to be the focus for N2 production in 4Q15F.  </li>
<li>TSMC's long-term gross margin is set at 53%, signifying a few key points. </li>
</ul>


Declaring a slower recovery for mature nodes was an outlier, indicating that Vanguard's recovery progress might be slower. 
Apple's iPhone is expected to be the focus for N2 production in 4Q15F.  
TSMC's long-term gross margin is set at 53%, signifying a few key points. 


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Sales in Line, 2024F Is Lowering the Growth Target Below 25% YoY

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Breaks Down From Extreme, UMC Discount Near Historical Low

TSMC and ASE ADR premiums fall from extreme highs; ChipMOS and UMC ADR discounts are near the lower end of their historical trading ranges.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

GEMWeekly (19 Apr 2024): China Macro Data; Baidu, TSMC, SK Hynix

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

GEM Funds Outperform in Q1. Long-Term Active Vs Passive Performance Compelling.

Q1 performance adds to GEM active fund's impressive record of outperformance. 5-year average GEM fund returns are +7.4% ahead of the benchmark...

Steven Holden

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Sales in Line, 2024F Is Lowering the Growth Target Below 25% YoY

With Apple's iPhone driving N2 production for TSMC in 4Q15F, maintaining a long-term gross margin of 53%. TSMC's long-term gross margin is set at 53%

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Breaks Down From Extreme, UMC Discount Near Historical Low

TSMC and ASE ADR premiums fall from extreme highs; ChipMOS and UMC ADR discounts are near the lower end of their historical trading ranges.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

GEMWeekly (19 Apr 2024): China Macro Data; Baidu, TSMC, SK Hynix

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Commodities Testing Resistance; Buys in Global Defensives (Staples, Utilities, Telecomm), Commodity...

Vermilion Research

GEM Funds Outperform in Q1. Long-Term Active Vs Passive Performance Compelling.

Q1 performance adds to GEM active fund's impressive record of outperformance. 5-year average GEM fund returns are +7.4% ahead of the benchmark...

Steven Holden

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Sales in Line, 2024F Is Lowering the Growth Target Below 25% YoY

With Apple's iPhone driving N2 production for TSMC in 4Q15F, maintaining a long-term gross margin of 53%. TSMC's long-term gross margin is set at 53%

Patrick Liao