Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.</li>
<li>Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.</li>
<li>ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.</li>
</ul>


A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.
Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.
ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.


Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,587.8 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, health care, and offset by materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,587.8 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, health care, and offset by materials.
We highlight flows for Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances.


Northbound Flows (Apr 12th): Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$934.0 million, led by health care, materials, information technology, and offset by communication services, industrials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$934.0 million, led by health care, materials, information technology, and offset by communication services, industrials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software Technology.


Northbound Flows (Mar 22nd): CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dekon-food-and-agriculture-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36756:1" rel="noopener">Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH)</a> raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO Trading - Tight Float at Listing, Subscription Rates Were Tepid

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dekon-food-and-agriculture-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36756:1" rel="noopener">Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.
In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.


Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO - Ebbs and Flows of Cycle Have Hurt Profitability

China

Muyuan Foodstuff Company Limited breeds and sells boars and commodity pigs. The Company's main products include boars, and commodity pigs.

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH)

Northbound Flows (Apr 12th): Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 22nd): CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO Trading - Tight Float at Listing, Subscription Rates Were Tepid

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading...

Clarence Chu

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO - Ebbs and Flows of Cycle Have Hurt Profitability

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at past performance,...

Clarence Chu

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Commodities Testing Resistance; Buys in Global Defensives (Staples, Utilities, Telecomm), Commodity...

Vermilion Research

Northbound Flows (Apr 12th): Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 22nd): CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO Trading - Tight Float at Listing, Subscription Rates Were Tepid

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading...

Clarence Chu

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO - Ebbs and Flows of Cycle Have Hurt Profitability

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at past performance,...

Clarence Chu