HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giga-device-semiconductor-inc-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/victory-giant-technology-huizhou-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48083:1" rel="noopener">Victory Giant (2476 HK)</a> are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> is large in size but not as fast in growth. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delton-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47605:1" rel="noopener">Delton Technology (1989 HK)</a>'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  </li>
</ul>


The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.

GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK), Montage Technology (6809 HK), and Victory Giant (2476 HK) are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is large in size but not as fast in growth. Delton Technology (1989 HK)'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  


HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cofco-meat-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22858:1" rel="noopener">Cofco Joycome (1610 HK)</a> is in a good position to benefit from the hog cycle upturn. China's anti-dumping investigation into imported pork from the EU may also disrupt supply.</li>
<li>Its average hog price has increased by 12.7% YTD and by 1.6% YoY for 5M24. Market hog price further surged by 10.4% in the week of 12-Jun from end-May.</li>
<li>Its P/B of 0.78x is inexpensive at 1SD below the 5-year average. Its peers like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff (002714 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wens-foodstuff-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22859:1" rel="noopener">Wens Foodstuff Group (300498 CH)</a> are also interesting. </li>
</ul>



Cofco Joycome (1610 HK) is in a good position to benefit from the hog cycle upturn. China's anti-dumping investigation into imported pork from the EU may also disrupt supply.
Its average hog price has increased by 12.7% YTD and by 1.6% YoY for 5M24. Market hog price further surged by 10.4% in the week of 12-Jun from end-May.
Its P/B of 0.78x is inexpensive at 1SD below the 5-year average. Its peers like Muyuan Foodstuff (002714 CH) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498 CH) are also interesting. 


COFCO Joycome (1610 HK): Brewing a Hog Cycle Upturn?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>MUYUAN plans to issue 274 million shares at a maximum price of HK$39/share. If based on net profit forecast of 2025, 2026, 2027, P/E would be 11x, 9.5x, 7.7x, respectively.</li>
<li>Reasonable valuation of MUYUAN-A share and MUYUAN-H share would be higher than peers such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wens-foodstuff-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22859:1" rel="noopener">Wens Foodstuff </a>(P/E of 12.9x by Jan.30), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group </a>(P/E of 9x by Jan.30).</li>
<li>If industry average valuation is used as the benchmark, based on 2026 forecast, the IPO pricing leaves decent room for stock price increases for both MUYUAN A and H share. </li>
</ul>


MUYUAN plans to issue 274 million shares at a maximum price of HK$39/share. If based on net profit forecast of 2025, 2026, 2027, P/E would be 11x, 9.5x, 7.7x, respectively.
Reasonable valuation of MUYUAN-A share and MUYUAN-H share would be higher than peers such as Wens Foodstuff (P/E of 12.9x by Jan.30), WH Group (P/E of 9x by Jan.30).
If industry average valuation is used as the benchmark, based on 2026 forecast, the IPO pricing leaves decent room for stock price increases for both MUYUAN A and H share. 


Muyuan Foods (2714.HK) - Thoughts on IPO Pricing and Valuation Outlook

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a>, a leader in the hog farming industry, raised around US$1.6bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK), a leader in the hog farming industry, raised around US$1.6bn in its H-share listing.
MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequitas: Muyuan Foods A/H Trading - Weak Retail and Mediocre Insti Demand

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$39 to raise HK$10,684 million (US$1.4 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218326" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-2714-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:219264" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) priced its H Share at HK$39 to raise HK$10,684 million (US$1.4 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Trading Debut

China

Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. conducts pigs farming businesses. The Company provides pigs breeding, raising, slaughtering, processing, and other services. Muyuan Foodstuff also produces animal feed products.

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Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)

COFCO Joycome (1610 HK): Brewing a Hog Cycle Upturn?

Cofco Joycome is well-positioned for China's hog cycle upturn, potential supply disruption from anti-dumping investigation into EU pork. Peers...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Muyuan Foods (2714.HK) - Thoughts on IPO Pricing and Valuation Outlook

The IPO pricing of MUYUAN is attractive, with potential decent upside(e.g. up 34% if based on industry average valuation). Based on the forecast of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Aequitas: Muyuan Foods A/H Trading - Weak Retail and Mediocre Insti Demand

Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK), a leader in the hog farming industry, raised around US$1.6bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

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HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

​H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Osbert Tang, CFA

COFCO Joycome (1610 HK): Brewing a Hog Cycle Upturn?

​Cofco Joycome is well-positioned for China's hog cycle upturn, potential supply disruption from anti-dumping investigation into EU pork. Peers...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Muyuan Foods (2714.HK) - Thoughts on IPO Pricing and Valuation Outlook

The IPO pricing of MUYUAN is attractive, with potential decent upside(e.g. up 34% if based on industry average valuation). Based on the forecast of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Aequitas: Muyuan Foods A/H Trading - Weak Retail and Mediocre Insti Demand

Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK), a leader in the hog farming industry, raised around US$1.6bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Trading Debut

Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.

Arun George

H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Cofco Joycome is well-positioned for China's hog cycle upturn, potential supply disruption from anti-dumping investigation into EU pork. Peers...