Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Rapidus is currently moving in parallel with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)</a> in targeting the 2nm, and is regarded as Japan’s core force in the advanced-process arena.</li>
<li>Rapidus plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido in FY2027. The facility is scheduled to begin 1.4nm volume production in 2029 to accelerate the catch-up with global leader TSMC.</li>
<li>During its mid-October earnings briefing, TSMC stated that 2nm will enter volume production as scheduled in 4Q this year, and that it will begin 1.4nm mass production in 2028.</li>
</ul>


Rapidus is currently moving in parallel with TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US) in targeting the 2nm, and is regarded as Japan’s core force in the advanced-process arena.
Rapidus plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido in FY2027. The facility is scheduled to begin 1.4nm volume production in 2029 to accelerate the catch-up with global leader TSMC.
During its mid-October earnings briefing, TSMC stated that 2nm will enter volume production as scheduled in 4Q this year, and that it will begin 1.4nm mass production in 2028.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Rapidus Plans to Build a Second Fab to Begin 1.4nm Volume Production in 2029

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Breadth of Asian market-sectors with robust earnings estimate upgrades improved remarkably. We spot 24 with upgrades over the past 1-month, 3-months and 6-months. Couple of weeks ago there were 18.</li>
<li>The new sectors that joined the list from our previous study are Chinese technology services, Korean utilities, Indian energy, Malaysian consumer durables and financials and Philippines basic materials.</li>
<li>Across Asia, basic materials, financials and electronic technology are prominent earnings gainers. They are driving upgrades in the US also. The AI capex and base metal demand themes seem robust.</li>
</ul>


Breadth of Asian market-sectors with robust earnings estimate upgrades improved remarkably. We spot 24 with upgrades over the past 1-month, 3-months and 6-months. Couple of weeks ago there were 18.
The new sectors that joined the list from our previous study are Chinese technology services, Korean utilities, Indian energy, Malaysian consumer durables and financials and Philippines basic materials.
Across Asia, basic materials, financials and electronic technology are prominent earnings gainers. They are driving upgrades in the US also. The AI capex and base metal demand themes seem robust.


Asian Equities: Strong Step-Up in Earnings Environment. 24 Market-Sectors Show Robust EPS Upgrades

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> raised around US$800m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO, after pricing its IPO in the middle of its range. Its IPO linked lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) raised around US$800m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO, after pricing its IPO in the middle of its range. Its IPO linked lockup will expire soon.
Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Kioxia IPO Lockup Expiry - US$6.7bn Release, with Shareholders Eager to Sell

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +25.8% Premium; Rebounded to High End of Range, Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -2.2% Discount; Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread</li>
<li>ASE: +3.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +25.8% Premium; Rebounded to High End of Range, Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread
UMC: -2.2% Discount; Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread
ASE: +3.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back in Extreme Range, UMC Discount

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD1,288.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD4,241mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial, Alchip Technologies, Ase Industrial, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, Alchip Technologies.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD1,288.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD4,241mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial, Alchip Technologies, Ase Industrial, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, Alchip Technologies.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Rapidus Plans to Build a Second Fab to Begin 1.4nm Volume Production in 2029

Rapidus aims to catch up with TSMC by targeting 2nm and plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido for 1.4nm volume production in 2029.

Patrick Liao

Asian Equities: Strong Step-Up in Earnings Environment. 24 Market-Sectors Show Robust EPS Upgrades

24 Asian market-sectors see EPS est upgrades over past 1-month, 3-month & 6-month. Couple of weeks ago there were 18. Basic materials, financials...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Kioxia IPO Lockup Expiry - US$6.7bn Release, with Shareholders Eager to Sell

Bain is now looking to sell some of its stake in Kioxia after a recent surge in the stock price. It will sell part of its holdings to raise around...

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back in Extreme Range, UMC Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Rapidus Plans to Build a Second Fab to Begin 1.4nm Volume Production in 2029

​Rapidus aims to catch up with TSMC by targeting 2nm and plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido for 1.4nm volume production in 2029.

Patrick Liao

Asian Equities: Strong Step-Up in Earnings Environment. 24 Market-Sectors Show Robust EPS Upgrades

​24 Asian market-sectors see EPS est upgrades over past 1-month, 3-month & 6-month. Couple of weeks ago there were 18. Basic materials, financials...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Kioxia IPO Lockup Expiry - US$6.7bn Release, with Shareholders Eager to Sell

Bain is now looking to sell some of its stake in Kioxia after a recent surge in the stock price. It will sell part of its holdings to raise around...

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back in Extreme Range, UMC Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Rapidus aims to catch up with TSMC by targeting 2nm and plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido for 1.4nm volume production in 2029.

24 Asian market-sectors see EPS est upgrades over past 1-month, 3-month & 6-month. Couple of weeks ago there were 18. Basic materials, financials...