Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The recent spike in Asian currencies is driving foreign institutional flows into Asian equities. Currency appreciation is usually a lead indicator of FII flows, implying that this enthusiasm may continue. </li>
<li>The markets that were sold down the most are attracting the most flows and could continue to do so. India, Taiwan and to a lesser extent, Korea qualify.</li>
<li>Domestic sectors like Chinese internet, restaurant chains, athleisure; Indian private banks, consumer discretionary, hospital chains could gain. So could defensives with high dividend yields, e.g. Korea and Chinese utilities, telecom.</li>
</ul>


The recent spike in Asian currencies is driving foreign institutional flows into Asian equities. Currency appreciation is usually a lead indicator of FII flows, implying that this enthusiasm may continue. 
The markets that were sold down the most are attracting the most flows and could continue to do so. India, Taiwan and to a lesser extent, Korea qualify.
Domestic sectors like Chinese internet, restaurant chains, athleisure; Indian private banks, consumer discretionary, hospital chains could gain. So could defensives with high dividend yields, e.g. Korea and Chinese utilities, telecom.


Asian Equities: Currency Strength Driving FII Flows – Winners and Losers

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Mirae Asset Securities / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we propose a pair trade between a basket of major securities stocks (long) versus banking stocks (short) in Korea.</li>
<li>We believe the five major securities stocks in Korea could continue to outperform the five major banking stocks in Korea over the next 6-12 months.</li>
<li>We present 3 major headwinds on the Korean banking sector and 4 major tailwinds on the Korean securities sector. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we propose a pair trade between a basket of major securities stocks (long) versus banking stocks (short) in Korea.
We believe the five major securities stocks in Korea could continue to outperform the five major banking stocks in Korea over the next 6-12 months.
We present 3 major headwinds on the Korean banking sector and 4 major tailwinds on the Korean securities sector. 


A Pair Trade (Basket) Of Korean Banks Vs Securities

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Daewoo Shipping &amp; Marine Engineering early in May 2023 agreed to takeover by Hanwah Group</li>
<li>Hanwah Ocean, the re-named entity, reported financial stress for years, a lumpy NPL for banks</li>
<li>C&amp;P CIQ data suggests that all four major Korean banks are creditors to Hanwah Ocean</li>
</ul>


Daewoo Shipping &amp; Marine Engineering early in May 2023 agreed to takeover by Hanwah Group
Hanwah Ocean, the re-named entity, reported financial stress for years, a lumpy NPL for banks
C&amp;P CIQ data suggests that all four major Korean banks are creditors to Hanwah Ocean


Korea's Large Banks & Hanwah Ocean - Credit Reversals or Overhang?

<ul>
<li>Among the various industries, the banking sector could be negatively impacted if Lee Jae-Myung becomes the next President of Korea.</li>
<li>Lee Jae-Myung has pledged providing a "basic loan" of 10 million won per citizen which is likely to negatively impact the Korean banks since it lacks rigorous credit checks. </li>
<li>There is an increasing likelihood that Lee Jae-Myung could raise the pressure on local banks to share the responsibility of social policies by contributing more money to support them.</li>
</ul>


Among the various industries, the banking sector could be negatively impacted if Lee Jae-Myung becomes the next President of Korea.
Lee Jae-Myung has pledged providing a "basic loan" of 10 million won per citizen which is likely to negatively impact the Korean banks since it lacks rigorous credit checks. 
There is an increasing likelihood that Lee Jae-Myung could raise the pressure on local banks to share the responsibility of social policies by contributing more money to support them.


Lee Jae-Myung's Policies Likely to Negatively Impact Korean Banks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 11th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Sk Innovation, Hanmi Semi, Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries, Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Posco, Naver, Hana Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 11th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Sk Innovation, Hanmi Semi, Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries, Alteogen, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Posco, Naver, Hana Financial.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): Lg Energy Solution, Sk Innovation, Hanmi Semi

South Korea

Hana Financial Group Inc., in accordance with Financial Holding Companies Act, was established on December 1, 2005, through stock transfer with the former shareholders of its subsidiaries in order to provide management services and financing to associated companies.

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Hana Financial (086790 KS)

Asian Equities: Currency Strength Driving FII Flows – Winners and Losers

In May, net buying of HK-listed stocks cratered to $5.8bn from the previous 3 month’s $20-21bn range. Avg daily turnover dropped to $12bn from the...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

A Pair Trade (Basket) Of Korean Banks Vs Securities

In this insight, we propose a pair trade between a basket of major securities stocks (long) versus banking stocks (short) in Korea.

Douglas Kim

Korea's Large Banks & Hanwah Ocean - Credit Reversals or Overhang?

News of ~USD740m placement, insight by Brian Freitas on this capital increase, it is a timely reminder of core credit metrics and concern for...

Daniel Tabbush

Lee Jae-Myung's Policies Likely to Negatively Impact Korean Banks

Among the various industries, the banking sector could be negatively impacted if Lee Jae-Myung becomes the next President of Korea.

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): Lg Energy Solution, Sk Innovation, Hanmi Semi

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Sk Innovation, Hanmi Semi, Hd...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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