Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.</li>
<li>China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> shares have benefited from this trend.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.
</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.
China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) shares have benefited from this trend.

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 3rd): SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>GB200 NVL shipments expected to increase as KYEC boosts capital expenditure, impacting notebook shipments in November 2024.</li><li>Taiwan wafer foundry industry developments in 4Q 2024 to be discussed at TSMC investor meeting, focusing on company outlook and new US tariff policies.</li><li>South Korea's acceleration of Yongin semiconductor complex aims to establish global chip leadership, attracting key industry players amidst global semiconductor shifts and US-China chip sector investigation; Taiwan targets AI growth with SEMI's Indian Semiconductor Academy plan.</li></ul>

GB200 NVL shipments expected to increase as KYEC boosts capital expenditure, impacting notebook shipments in November 2024.Taiwan wafer foundry industry developments in 4Q 2024 to be discussed at TSMC investor meeting, focusing on company outlook and new US tariff policies.South Korea's acceleration of Yongin semiconductor complex aims to establish global chip leadership, attracting key industry players amidst global semiconductor shifts and US-China chip sector investigation; Taiwan targets AI growth with SEMI's Indian Semiconductor Academy plan.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Dec-2024): GB200 NVL shipments to rise with KYEC's capex boost.

China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi's Japan market share rose to ~7% in C2Q24 from the year prior, driven by carrier partnerships and brand recognition from SU7 media coverage and  a product partnership with LEICA;</li>
<li>Upon examination, we found Xiaomi filled a product gap left by the smartphone exits of Kyocera and Fujitsu, for the carriers, which account for 90% of handset sales in Japan;</li>
<li>In our view, Xiaomi’s success in Japan marks a turning point in its global brand perception, signaling potential for further growth in other developed and high end developing markets.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi's Japan market share rose to ~7% in C2Q24 from the year prior, driven by carrier partnerships and brand recognition from SU7 media coverage and  a product partnership with LEICA;
Upon examination, we found Xiaomi filled a product gap left by the smartphone exits of Kyocera and Fujitsu, for the carriers, which account for 90% of handset sales in Japan;
In our view, Xiaomi’s success in Japan marks a turning point in its global brand perception, signaling potential for further growth in other developed and high end developing markets.


Xiaomi's Smartphone Share Gain in Japan Is a Harbinger of Good Things to Come

China

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

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Lenovo (992 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th and highlight short interest changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 3rd): SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Dec-2024): GB200 NVL shipments to rise with KYEC's capex boost.

November 2024 sees increasing GB200 NVL notebook shipments as Taiwan wafer foundry industry develops, TSMC investor meeting discusses new US tariff...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th and highlight short interest changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 3rd): SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Dec-2024): GB200 NVL shipments to rise with KYEC's capex boost.

November 2024 sees increasing GB200 NVL notebook shipments as Taiwan wafer foundry industry develops, TSMC investor meeting discusses new US tariff...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Xiaomi's Smartphone Share Gain in Japan Is a Harbinger of Good Things to Come

Xiaomi’s Japan success signals a broader global improvement in its brand image. High-profile products like the 14 Ultra and SU7 EV drive a shift...

Blue Lotus Research Institute