HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the US interest rate heading lower, the HSI constituent companies with the highest gearing levels are the prime beneficiaries as their interest burden will lessen.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China (1928 HK)</a>, while it has the highest leverage, is not a near-term gain. This is because its debt structure with 100% fixed rate borrowings. </li>
<li>Based on the gearing level, floating rate proportion, and YTD performance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> are the two potential best bets.</li>
</ul>


With the US interest rate heading lower, the HSI constituent companies with the highest gearing levels are the prime beneficiaries as their interest burden will lessen.

Sands China (1928 HK), while it has the highest leverage, is not a near-term gain. This is because its debt structure with 100% fixed rate borrowings. 
Based on the gearing level, floating rate proportion, and YTD performance, New World Development (17 HK) and Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) are the two potential best bets.


HK Strategy: Rate Cut Beneficiaries - Fixed & Floating Rate Debt Analysis

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 13th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Byd Electronic (International), Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 13th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Byd Electronic (International), Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 13th): Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Byd Electronic (International)

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Auto LED orders set to increase significantly for a year, with Edison predicting double growth by 2025.</li><li>TSMC upgrades CoWoS technology to compete with 9x reticle sizes by 2027, showing continuous advancement in semiconductor manufacturing.</li><li>MiTAC plans to double capital expenditures in 2025 to diversify production under the new administration of Trump 2.0.</li></ul>

Auto LED orders set to increase significantly for a year, with Edison predicting double growth by 2025.TSMC upgrades CoWoS technology to compete with 9x reticle sizes by 2027, showing continuous advancement in semiconductor manufacturing.MiTAC plans to double capital expenditures in 2025 to diversify production under the new administration of Trump 2.0.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Dec-2024): Oct 2024: Notebook shipment update

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Soft PC Results from Dell and HPQ and Delayed Industry PC Upgrades into  2025E; Dell and HPQ Shares Fall Sharply</li>
<li>Conclusion: Both Firms Confirm Relative Strength for Commercial and Weakness for Consumer; AI PCs and Windows 11 to Drive 2025E Upgrades</li>
<li>Asia PC Makers Showing Stronger Growth; However, Dell &amp; HPQ Share Rout May Weigh on Sentiment</li>
</ul>


Soft PC Results from Dell and HPQ and Delayed Industry PC Upgrades into  2025E; Dell and HPQ Shares Fall Sharply
Conclusion: Both Firms Confirm Relative Strength for Commercial and Weakness for Consumer; AI PCs and Windows 11 to Drive 2025E Upgrades
Asia PC Makers Showing Stronger Growth; However, Dell &amp; HPQ Share Rout May Weigh on Sentiment


PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

<ul><li>India's PC market shows growth in 3Q24, indicating signs of recovery in the industry after a challenging period.</li><li>Taiwan's aerospace industry experiences a surge in ambitions amidst global security worries, highlighting the region's competitive edge.</li><li>Samsung makes changes in leadership with new foundry CTO appointment, signaling a strategic shift in the company's direction.</li></ul>

India's PC market shows growth in 3Q24, indicating signs of recovery in the industry after a challenging period.Taiwan's aerospace industry experiences a surge in ambitions amidst global security worries, highlighting the region's competitive edge.Samsung makes changes in leadership with new foundry CTO appointment, signaling a strategic shift in the company's direction.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Nov-2024): India PC market recovering, slight shipment growth in 3Q24.

China

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

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Lenovo (992 HK)

HK Strategy: Rate Cut Beneficiaries - Fixed & Floating Rate Debt Analysis

With the Fed hinting at a slower rate cut path, the beneficiaries mentioned in this Insight will turn to suffer more. The names with the highest...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 13th): Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Byd Electronic (International)

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Byd Electronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Dec-2024): Oct 2024: Notebook shipment update

October 2024 update: Strong notebook shipments, LED orders rising, TSMC advancing technology, MiTAC plans to diversify, SMIC driving China's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Nov-2024): India PC market recovering, slight shipment growth in 3Q24.

India sees slight growth in PC shipments, Taiwan's aerospace sector thrives, Samsung appoints new CTO, Taiwan and Germany collaborate on AI license...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: Rate Cut Beneficiaries - Fixed & Floating Rate Debt Analysis

With the Fed hinting at a slower rate cut path, the beneficiaries mentioned in this Insight will turn to suffer more. The names with the highest...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 13th): Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Byd Electronic (International)

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Byd Electronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Dec-2024): Oct 2024: Notebook shipment update

October 2024 update: Strong notebook shipments, LED orders rising, TSMC advancing technology, MiTAC plans to diversify, SMIC driving China's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

​Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Nov-2024): India PC market recovering, slight shipment growth in 3Q24.

India sees slight growth in PC shipments, Taiwan's aerospace sector thrives, Samsung appoints new CTO, Taiwan and Germany collaborate on AI license...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.