Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Krung Thai ranks second from top in terms of post-provision profitability and it has double digit ROE with a healthy balance sheet, along with attractive PBV and PE ratios</li>
<li>We also like Ayudhya, with its sound pre and post-provision profitability metrics with healthy ROE and ROA, its sound credit quality metrics and undemanding valuations</li>
<li>Kasikorn’s TTM cost of risk remain high versus the peers, and in 3Q23 it continued to worsen; its pre-provision profitability is healthy but there is, as yet, no CoR improvement</li>
</ul>


Krung Thai ranks second from top in terms of post-provision profitability and it has double digit ROE with a healthy balance sheet, along with attractive PBV and PE ratios
We also like Ayudhya, with its sound pre and post-provision profitability metrics with healthy ROE and ROA, its sound credit quality metrics and undemanding valuations
Kasikorn’s TTM cost of risk remain high versus the peers, and in 3Q23 it continued to worsen; its pre-provision profitability is healthy but there is, as yet, no CoR improvement


Thai Banks 3Q23 Screener; Stick with Krung Thai and Ayudhya

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Thai Credit Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-credit-bank-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40192:1" rel="noopener">Thai Credit Bank PCL (3674238Z TB)</a> is looking to raise US$300m from its upcoming Thailand IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Thailand IPO.</li>
<li>TCB is a commercial bank that focuses on providing business loans to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs), nano loans and micro credits to merchants, and home loans for individual customers. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Thai Credit Bank PCL (3674238Z TB) is looking to raise US$300m from its upcoming Thailand IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Thailand IPO.
TCB is a commercial bank that focuses on providing business loans to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs), nano loans and micro credits to merchants, and home loans for individual customers. 
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Thai Credit Bank Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Although NPLs Are Rising, and Market Seems Fragmented

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights published onn <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-selamat-sempurna-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10909:1" rel="noopener">Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40150:1" rel="noopener">Barito Renewables</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertex-technology-acquisition-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35394:1" rel="noopener">Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP).</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also insights in the 3Q2023 performance in Singapore, as well as a look at Singapore's monthly balance sheet, and a credit insight looking at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20844:1" rel="noopener">Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights published onn Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ), Barito Renewables, Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK), and Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP). and UOB (UOB SP).
There were also insights in the 3Q2023 performance in Singapore, as well as a look at Singapore's monthly balance sheet, and a credit insight looking at Medco Energi (MEDC IJ). 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Filters, Barito Renewables, and Vertex Technology SPAC.

<ul>
<li>Krung Thai remains our pick; it ranks second from top in terms of post-provision profitability, screens well on NPL coverage, funding as well as PBV ratios and PE multiples</li>
<li>We also like Ayudhya, with its sound pre and post-provision profitability metrics in 2Q23, its sound credit quality metrics and attractive valuations</li>
<li>Kasikorn has seen its TTM cost of risk remain high, and it is the negative outlier versus its peers; yet Kasikorn’s poor share performance makes it one for the watchlist</li>
</ul>


Krung Thai remains our pick; it ranks second from top in terms of post-provision profitability, screens well on NPL coverage, funding as well as PBV ratios and PE multiples
We also like Ayudhya, with its sound pre and post-provision profitability metrics in 2Q23, its sound credit quality metrics and attractive valuations
Kasikorn has seen its TTM cost of risk remain high, and it is the negative outlier versus its peers; yet Kasikorn’s poor share performance makes it one for the watchlist


Thai Banks 2Q23 Screener; We Reiterate Our Positive Picks Krung Thai and Ayudhya

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>MUFG has assets of USD2,909,711m compared with USD471m at Mandala Multifinance</li>
<li>MUFG's profit is USD8,880m compared with USD44m at Mandala Multifinance</li>
<li>There is nothing wrong with expansion outside Japan, but perspective is key</li>
</ul>


MUFG has assets of USD2,909,711m compared with USD471m at Mandala Multifinance
MUFG's profit is USD8,880m compared with USD44m at Mandala Multifinance
There is nothing wrong with expansion outside Japan, but perspective is key


MUFG & PT Mandala Multifinance - Too Small To Matter, LT Perspective ROA Is Key

Thailand

Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited provides a full range of banking and financial services.  The Bank offers corporate and personal lending, retail and wholesale banking, international trade financing, asset management and investment banking services, to customers through its nationwide branches. It also has branches in Hong Kong, Vietnam, Laos, and Cayman Islands.

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Bank Of Ayudhya (BAY TB)

Thai Banks 3Q23 Screener; Stick with Krung Thai and Ayudhya

Of the Thai banks, Krung Thai and Ayudhya have strong profitability and healthy balance sheets, with attractive PBV and PE ratios, while...

Victor Galliano

Thai Credit Bank Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Although NPLs Are Rising, and Market Seems Fragmented

Thai Credit Bank PCL (3674238Z TB) is looking to raise US$300m from its upcoming Thailand IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in...

Clarence Chu

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Filters, Barito Renewables, and Vertex Technology SPAC.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Thai Banks 2Q23 Screener; We Reiterate Our Positive Picks Krung Thai and Ayudhya

We reiterate our buy picks, Krung Thai and Ayudhya, among the Thai banks for their premium ROEs and pre- and post-provision profitability metrics,...

Victor Galliano

MUFG & PT Mandala Multifinance - Too Small To Matter, LT Perspective ROA Is Key

MUFG's purchase of Mandala in Indonesia may sound enticing, but the reality is that this is too small to matter, while perspective shows no major...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Thai Banks 3Q23 Screener; Stick with Krung Thai and Ayudhya

​Of the Thai banks, Krung Thai and Ayudhya have strong profitability and healthy balance sheets, with attractive PBV and PE ratios, while...

Victor Galliano

Thai Credit Bank Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Although NPLs Are Rising, and Market Seems Fragmented

Thai Credit Bank PCL (3674238Z TB) is looking to raise US$300m from its upcoming Thailand IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in...

Clarence Chu

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Filters, Barito Renewables, and Vertex Technology SPAC.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Thai Banks 2Q23 Screener; We Reiterate Our Positive Picks Krung Thai and Ayudhya

We reiterate our buy picks, Krung Thai and Ayudhya, among the Thai banks for their premium ROEs and pre- and post-provision profitability metrics,...

Victor Galliano

MUFG & PT Mandala Multifinance - Too Small To Matter, LT Perspective ROA Is Key

MUFG's purchase of Mandala in Indonesia may sound enticing, but the reality is that this is too small to matter, while perspective shows no major...

Daniel Tabbush

Of the Thai banks, Krung Thai and Ayudhya have strong profitability and healthy balance sheets, with attractive PBV and PE ratios, while...