ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> 4Q2021 results marked a turnaround in both its packaging business in glass and cans plus better performance from Big C as mobility improved during the quarter.</li>
<li>The outlook for packaging looks positive and the Big C will open more outlets in 2022 plus renovating around 20 hypermarkets plus opening new formats this year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> remains an interesting recovery play for Thailand and Vietnam, with the potential for more retail exposure there in the future. Valuations stack up versus peers.</li>
</ul>



Berli Jucker (BJC TB) 4Q2021 results marked a turnaround in both its packaging business in glass and cans plus better performance from Big C as mobility improved during the quarter.
The outlook for packaging looks positive and the Big C will open more outlets in 2022 plus renovating around 20 hypermarkets plus opening new formats this year.

Berli Jucker (BJC TB) remains an interesting recovery play for Thailand and Vietnam, with the potential for more retail exposure there in the future. Valuations stack up versus peers.


Berli Jucker (BJC IJ) - Ride the Retail and Packaging Recovery

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As concerns over China persist, Asia Ex-Japan managers are becoming more constructive on the ASEAN Region and appear amenable to increasing allocations.</li>
<li>Indonesia and Singapore are the largest country allocations, Indonesia/Vietnam the key overweights and Malaysia/Thailand the key underweights. Only 20.4% of managers have any Malaysia exposure at all.</li>
<li>Sea Ltd and Bank Central Asia are the key overweights in the region.  Recent activity has favoured Cisarua Mountain Dairy, Central Pattana Pub and Telekomunikasi Indonesia.</li>
</ul>


As concerns over China persist, Asia Ex-Japan managers are becoming more constructive on the ASEAN Region and appear amenable to increasing allocations.
Indonesia and Singapore are the largest country allocations, Indonesia/Vietnam the key overweights and Malaysia/Thailand the key underweights. Only 20.4% of managers have any Malaysia exposure at all.
Sea Ltd and Bank Central Asia are the key overweights in the region.  Recent activity has favoured Cisarua Mountain Dairy, Central Pattana Pub and Telekomunikasi Indonesia.


ASEAN Reversal.  Asia Ex-Japan Managers Raise Allocations

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Countries in ASEAN have gradually relaxed their travel policies and reopened their borders allowing foreign tourists to come. </li>
<li>Stocks that will benefit range from Airlines, Airport maintenance, catering provider, hotel operator, public transport operator to convenience store and F&amp;B operators.</li>
<li>The big daddy of ASEAN tourism, China, has taken the first step to allow ART tests available for public and worth monitoring its progress. </li>
</ul>


Countries in ASEAN have gradually relaxed their travel policies and reopened their borders allowing foreign tourists to come. 
Stocks that will benefit range from Airlines, Airport maintenance, catering provider, hotel operator, public transport operator to convenience store and F&amp;B operators.
The big daddy of ASEAN tourism, China, has taken the first step to allow ART tests available for public and worth monitoring its progress. 


ASEAN Reopening: Tourism and Transport Reboot - Part Deux

<ul>
<li>The long-term decline in Thailand allocations among Asia Ex-Japan funds appears to be stabilising.</li>
<li>Over the past 6-months, Thailand weights have increased by 0.29%, with 6.5% of the funds in our analysis adding exposure, though managers remain underweight and underinvested.</li>
<li>CP ALL PCL is the most widely held stock, but recent fund activity has favoured Central Pattana Pub, Bangkok Dusit Medical Services and Asian Sea.</li>
</ul>


The long-term decline in Thailand allocations among Asia Ex-Japan funds appears to be stabilising.
Over the past 6-months, Thailand weights have increased by 0.29%, with 6.5% of the funds in our analysis adding exposure, though managers remain underweight and underinvested.
CP ALL PCL is the most widely held stock, but recent fund activity has favoured Central Pattana Pub, Bangkok Dusit Medical Services and Asian Sea.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siam-commercial-bank-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:214:1" rel="noopener">Siam Commercial Bank (SCB TB)</a>recently published a solid set of results reflecting the gradual recovery of its core banking business and increasing digitalisation of its customers base.</li>
<li>The real excitement will come with the formation of SCBX, involving the reallocation of excess capital, which will be invested in adjacent lending and high-growth technology businesses.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siam-commercial-bank-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:214:1" rel="noopener">Siam Commercial Bank (SCB TB)</a>trades at a slight premium to peers on 0.92x FY2022E PBV but has the potential to generate higher returns, which should lead to further re-rating.</li>
</ul>



Siam Commercial Bank (SCB TB)recently published a solid set of results reflecting the gradual recovery of its core banking business and increasing digitalisation of its customers base.
The real excitement will come with the formation of SCBX, involving the reallocation of excess capital, which will be invested in adjacent lending and high-growth technology businesses.

Siam Commercial Bank (SCB TB)trades at a slight premium to peers on 0.92x FY2022E PBV but has the potential to generate higher returns, which should lead to further re-rating.


Siam Commercial Bank (SCB TB) - Let the Games Begin

Thailand

CP ALL PCL operates convenience store chains in Thailand and China.  The Company also owns and operates the a department store chain located primarily in Shanghai city and Chonqing city of China.

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CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB)

Berli Jucker (BJC IJ) - Ride the Retail and Packaging Recovery

Berli Jucker remains an interesting recovery play for Thailand and Vietnam, with the potential for more retail exposure in Vietnam in the future....

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Reversal. Asia Ex-Japan Managers Raise Allocations

As concerns over China persist, Asia Ex-Japan managers are becoming more constructive on the ASEAN Region and appear amenable to increasing...

Steven Holden

ASEAN Reopening: Tourism and Transport Reboot - Part Deux

It may still need a few months or even close to a year to get everything back to the pre-COVID-19 level but the progress since the first insight...

Henry Soediarko

The Thailand Turnaround

The long-term decline in Thailand allocations among Asia Ex-Japan funds appears to be stabilising. We analyse the shift in sentiment among investors.

Steven Holden

Siam Commercial Bank (SCB TB) - Let the Games Begin

Siam Commercial Bank trades at a slight premium to peers on 0.9x FY2022E PBV but has the potential to generate higher returns with the formation of...

Angus Mackintosh

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