Dry Bulk Commodity Market Insights, DBX Commodities Limited

DBX Commodities

Dry Bulk Commodity Market Insights

DBX Commodities Limited

DBX provides the most accurate and comprehensive real-time data and insights for dry bulk commodities based on satellite imagery and intelligence.

Alex CLAUDE, an expert in commodity tech with 15 years experience in the commodity trading industry, teamed up with the Signal Group in 2020 and started DBX. 

Our product is the result of a unique combination of domain and technological expertise. We offer the most comprehensive, accurate and deepest research analytics of the dry bulk commodity market: coal, iron ore, alumina, bauxite, sugar, wheat, soybeans and soymeal.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>
Fundamental supply &amp; demand outlook for iron ore: Neutral to Bearish
</li>
<li>
DBX Outlook: Short-Term Price Weakness Amid Export Rebound and Soft Demand
</li>
<li>
Australian iron ore exports plummeted to 60.6 million tonnes in February, the lowest since 2020, due to Tropical Cyclone Zelia, but DBX expects a recovery to 75 million tonnes in March as conditions normalize.
</li>
</ul>



Fundamental supply &amp; demand outlook for iron ore: Neutral to Bearish


DBX Outlook: Short-Term Price Weakness Amid Export Rebound and Soft Demand


Australian iron ore exports plummeted to 60.6 million tonnes in February, the lowest since 2020, due to Tropical Cyclone Zelia, but DBX expects a recovery to 75 million tonnes in March as conditions normalize.



Global Iron Ore Fundamentals (March 2025)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 14th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Santos, A2 Milk Company, Nextdc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 14th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Santos, A2 Milk Company, Nextdc.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:959:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Group (GMG AU)</a> is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans.</li>
<li>Goodman’s shares have performed exceptionally well over the past year, driven by its pivot towards data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans.
Goodman’s shares have performed exceptionally well over the past year, driven by its pivot towards data centers.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its Monetary Policy on 18 February. The current RBA rate stands at 4.35% with no change since 2024. </li>
<li>The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut. Options expiring on 20 February provide an instrument to trade this event. </li>
<li>Option pricing is in-line with historical <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> moves on days after expected rate changes. Contrarians expecting no change might find value in put options.</li>
</ul>


The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its Monetary Policy on 18 February. The current RBA rate stands at 4.35% with no change since 2024. 
The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut. Options expiring on 20 February provide an instrument to trade this event. 
Option pricing is in-line with historical S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) moves on days after expected rate changes. Contrarians expecting no change might find value in put options.


Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

<ul>
<li>Today, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> reached a new all-time high while implied volatility is near record low levels. The combination makes for a good opportunity to hedge.</li>
<li>Volatility assessment trough conventional volatility metrics and one new chart not seen anywhere else.</li>
<li>An actionable example of a put option hedge is presented, striking a balance between protection and cost.</li>
</ul>


Today, the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) reached a new all-time high while implied volatility is near record low levels. The combination makes for a good opportunity to hedge.
Volatility assessment trough conventional volatility metrics and one new chart not seen anywhere else.
An actionable example of a put option hedge is presented, striking a balance between protection and cost.


EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy -  Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

Australia

BHP Group Ltd operates as an international resources company. The Company offers mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel, and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)

Global Iron Ore Fundamentals (March 2025)

Fundamental supply & demand outlook for iron ore: Neutral to Bearish. DBX Outlook: Short-Term Price Weakness Amid Export Rebound and Soft Demand

DBX Commodities

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy - Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Iron Ore Fundamentals (March 2025)

Fundamental supply & demand outlook for iron ore: Neutral to Bearish. DBX Outlook: Short-Term Price Weakness Amid Export Rebound and Soft Demand

DBX Commodities

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

​The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy - Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's ​S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...

Gaudenz Schneider

The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...