Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Iron ore’s rally appeared sentiment driven, as narrowing mill margins and easing blast furnace activity highlight softening fundamentals and fading demand support.</li>
<li>Broader technical momentum is weakening as MACD turns bearish and prices retreat from Bollinger resistance, flagging rising downside risks ahead.</li>
<li>The DCE-SGX spread’s position below key MAs and repeated lower Bollinger band tests signal weak momentum, leaving upside uncertain and the near-term bias tilted bearish.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore’s rally appeared sentiment driven, as narrowing mill margins and easing blast furnace activity highlight softening fundamentals and fading demand support.
Broader technical momentum is weakening as MACD turns bearish and prices retreat from Bollinger resistance, flagging rising downside risks ahead.
The DCE-SGX spread’s position below key MAs and repeated lower Bollinger band tests signal weak momentum, leaving upside uncertain and the near-term bias tilted bearish.


<ul>
<li>Simandou’s arrival and softer mill output signal a clear shift toward weaker near-term demand, even as some investors position for policy surprises.</li>
<li>Technical signals point to stretched momentum, with the broader setup now tilting toward elevated odds of a near-term mean-reversion pullback.</li>
<li>The 65–62 spread climbed sharply this week, while the 62–58 spread moved lower, marking a notable divergence across grade differentials.</li>
</ul>


Simandou’s arrival and softer mill output signal a clear shift toward weaker near-term demand, even as some investors position for policy surprises.
Technical signals point to stretched momentum, with the broader setup now tilting toward elevated odds of a near-term mean-reversion pullback.
The 65–62 spread climbed sharply this week, while the 62–58 spread moved lower, marking a notable divergence across grade differentials.


Iron Ore Rally Stretches Thin as Technicals Flash Pullback Risk

<ul>
<li>Vanke’s surprise bond delay sent markets into a tailspin, reviving fears of deeper systemic risk given its size and reputation.</li>
<li>Manufacturing softness and rising port inventories indicate weakening hot metal production, signalling renewed downside risks for iron ore. </li>
<li>Any near-term support from stimulus chatter is likely outweighed by fading demand fundamentals and persistent sector-wide confidence erosion.</li>
</ul>


Vanke’s surprise bond delay sent markets into a tailspin, reviving fears of deeper systemic risk given its size and reputation.
Manufacturing softness and rising port inventories indicate weakening hot metal production, signalling renewed downside risks for iron ore. 
Any near-term support from stimulus chatter is likely outweighed by fading demand fundamentals and persistent sector-wide confidence erosion.


Policy Whispers Offer Relief, but Structural Damage Points to Iron Ore Headwinds

<ul>
<li>Iron ore futures hit a three-week high as shipments fell by 8.3% WoW, but blast furnace shutdowns signal weak demand and limit further upside.</li>
<li>Managed money participants reduced net long exposure across all futures and options expiries, reflecting a more cautious market stance.</li>
<li>The DCE-SGX spread has retreated from the upper Bollinger band and slipped below the 9-day MA, indicating softening momentum. </li>
</ul>


Iron ore futures hit a three-week high as shipments fell by 8.3% WoW, but blast furnace shutdowns signal weak demand and limit further upside.
Managed money participants reduced net long exposure across all futures and options expiries, reflecting a more cautious market stance.
The DCE-SGX spread has retreated from the upper Bollinger band and slipped below the 9-day MA, indicating softening momentum. 


Iron Ore Upside Persists, but Easing Fundamentals and Risk Reduction Cap Enthusiasm

<ul>
<li>Iron ore rebounded as supply tightened, and trade sentiment improved, though weak demand and margin pressure capped gains.</li>
<li>Managed money participants increased their net long positions across all futures and options expiries, signalling renewed confidence in the bullish trend.</li>
<li>The DCE-SGX spread’s climb above key MAs signals firm bullish momentum, though sustained strength remains crucial.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore rebounded as supply tightened, and trade sentiment improved, though weak demand and margin pressure capped gains.
Managed money participants increased their net long positions across all futures and options expiries, signalling renewed confidence in the bullish trend.
The DCE-SGX spread’s climb above key MAs signals firm bullish momentum, though sustained strength remains crucial.


Shipments Tighten, Bears Circle: Iron Ore Navigates Macro and Technical Squeeze

Australia

Iron ores are rocks and minerals from which metallic iron can be economically extracted. The ores are usually rich in iron oxides and vary in color from dark grey, bright yellow, deep purple, to rusty red. The iron itself is usually found in the form of magnetite (Fe3O4, 72.4% Fe), hematite (Fe2O3, 69.9% Fe), goethite (FeO(OH), 62.9% Fe), limonite (FeO(OH).n(H2O)) or siderite (FeCO3, 48.2% Fe).

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Iron Ore (IRON ORE COMDTY)

Iron Ore’s Speculative Run Loses Steam

Shrinking margins, fading demand and weakening technicals challenge the rally’s foundation, raising the question: how vulnerable is iron ore now?

Mint Finance

Iron Ore Rally Stretches Thin as Technicals Flash Pullback Risk

Simandou flows and softening mill output collide with overextended momentum, setting the stage for a test of the market’s recent resilience.

Mint Finance

Policy Whispers Offer Relief, but Structural Damage Points to Iron Ore Headwinds

Vanke’s repayment delay, falling sales, weak PMIs, and rising inventories signal persistent pressure on China’s iron-ore demand.

Mint Finance

Iron Ore Upside Persists, but Easing Fundamentals and Risk Reduction Cap Enthusiasm

A supply-led rebound has lifted iron ore prices, but restrained positioning and blast furnace shutdowns suggest the bulls may struggle to hold...

Mint Finance

Shipments Tighten, Bears Circle: Iron Ore Navigates Macro and Technical Squeeze

Iron ore futures rebound on tighter supply, yet weakening technicals and soft demand signal fading momentum and persistent downside risk ahead.

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)