Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> rallied 3.2% in Wednesday's morning session. Quantitative models highlight potential for a short-term pull-back.</li>
<li>
Trade Idea: Three actionable option strategies with a bearish tilt are presented, taking advantage of current implied volatility levels and skew.</li>
<li>
Why Read: This Insight combines directional analysis with volatility signals, highlighting a tactical options strategy where high implied volatility and bearish probabilities align, offering investors defined risk/reward.</li>
</ul>



Context: Toyota Motor (7203 JP) rallied 3.2% in Wednesday's morning session. Quantitative models highlight potential for a short-term pull-back.

Trade Idea: Three actionable option strategies with a bearish tilt are presented, taking advantage of current implied volatility levels and skew.

Why Read: This Insight combines directional analysis with volatility signals, highlighting a tactical options strategy where high implied volatility and bearish probabilities align, offering investors defined risk/reward.


Toyota (7203 JP) Up 3.2% Today: Tactical Bearish Option Strategies as Pullback Looms

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Numbers from PulteGroup pointing to a nascent bottoming sends builders higher.</li>
<li>Texas Instruments down afterhours will weigh on Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas etc, but this may be short lived.</li>
<li>Can Davinci success in the US be a positive read for Sysmex's Hinotori with the stock on its knees?</li>
</ul>


Numbers from PulteGroup pointing to a nascent bottoming sends builders higher.
Texas Instruments down afterhours will weigh on Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas etc, but this may be short lived.
Can Davinci success in the US be a positive read for Sysmex's Hinotori with the stock on its knees?


Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda (7267 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-heavy-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5439:1" rel="noopener">Subaru (7270 JP)</a> price-ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Honda (7267 JP) and short Subaru (7270 JP) targets a 5% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Honda (7267 JP) vs. Subaru (7270 JP) price-ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Honda (7267 JP) and short Subaru (7270 JP) targets a 5% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Honda (7267 JP) Vs. Short Subaru (7270 JP): Japan Auto Stat Arb Opportunity Targeting 5%

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 10th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,836m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, SoftBank, Fast Retailing, Advantest, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Keyence, Nojima, Kobe Bussan, Hitachi, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ihi, Softbank, Fast Retailing, Advantest.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 10th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,836m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, SoftBank, Fast Retailing, Advantest, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Keyence, Nojima, Kobe Bussan, Hitachi, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ihi, Softbank, Fast Retailing, Advantest.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 10th): IHI, SoftBank, Fast Retailing, Advantest

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$330m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 4.5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> (KE) stock.</li>
<li>KE had seen two selldown earlier, from KKR, with mixed results. KKR just came out of its last lockup.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Applied Materials (AMAT US) is looking to raise approximately US$330m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 4.5% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) stock.
KE had seen two selldown earlier, from KKR, with mixed results. KKR just came out of its last lockup.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kokusai Electric Placement - Unexpected Seller but Relatively Small Deal

Japan

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, and power products such as generators and farm machinery. The Company also operates a financial credit business. Honda Motor has manufacturing facilities in the US, Canada, the UK, France, Italy, Spain, Brazil, Mexico, India, and Thailand.

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Honda Motor (7267 JP)

Toyota (7203 JP) Up 3.2% Today: Tactical Bearish Option Strategies as Pullback Looms

Explore three actionable bearish option strategies as Toyota (7203 JP) rallies 3.5%. Capitalize on elevated volatility and flat skew while...

Gaudenz Schneider

Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

Power and analog semi's may take a hit after Texas Instruments fell after hours. May be a buy the dip opportunity for Rohm, Fuji Elec and Renesas....

Andrew Jackson

Long Honda (7267 JP) Vs. Short Subaru (7270 JP): Japan Auto Stat Arb Opportunity Targeting 5%

Potential pair trade opportunity in going long Honda (7267 JP) and short Subaru (7270 JP) for a 5% target return, appealing to quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 10th): IHI, SoftBank, Fast Retailing, Advantest

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted IHI (7013 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Fast Retailing (9983 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kokusai Electric Placement - Unexpected Seller but Relatively Small Deal

Applied Materials (AMAT US) is looking to raise approximately US$330m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 4.5% of Kokusai Electric...

Sumeet Singh

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