IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kansai Electric Power / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$3.5 billion primary/secondary offering announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18907:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a>’s shares have been down 20.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,397 per share (13 November).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, KEPCO’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$3.5 billion primary/secondary offering announcement, Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)’s shares have been down 20.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,397 per share (13 November).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, KEPCO’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): The Current Playbook

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18907:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a> is looking to raise up to US$3.5bn via a primary offering and a sale of Treasury shares. Pricing date is between 26-29 November.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18907:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a> is among the better performing stocks from the Electric Utilities industry and trades at higher valuations compared to its peers.</li>
<li>There will be a fair bit of passive buying with around 29% of the offering being bought at the time of settlement of the shares.</li>
</ul>



Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP) is looking to raise up to US$3.5bn via a primary offering and a sale of Treasury shares. Pricing date is between 26-29 November.

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP) is among the better performing stocks from the Electric Utilities industry and trades at higher valuations compared to its peers.
There will be a fair bit of passive buying with around 29% of the offering being bought at the time of settlement of the shares.


KEPCO (9503 JP): Index Implications of US$3.5bn Primary + Secondary Offering

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nidec may be back in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and heating issues for NVDA.</li>
<li>Tesla and power-semis are both up on the self-driving U-turn.</li>
<li>No bid for JP SPE's recently, although Lasertec may still have further to fall.</li>
</ul>


Nidec may be back in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and heating issues for NVDA.
Tesla and power-semis are both up on the self-driving U-turn.
No bid for JP SPE's recently, although Lasertec may still have further to fall.


Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

<ul>
<li>AMAT numbers sends US SPE lower on Friday which should spill over into Japan.</li>
<li>Trump's Energy Secretary nomination may be a short term positive for oil and gas related, longer-term questionable.</li>
<li>Both Ibiden and Renesas have potential to be rerated on their NVDA exposure, but market indifferent so far.</li>
</ul>


AMAT numbers sends US SPE lower on Friday which should spill over into Japan.
Trump's Energy Secretary nomination may be a short term positive for oil and gas related, longer-term questionable.
Both Ibiden and Renesas have potential to be rerated on their NVDA exposure, but market indifferent so far.


Japan Morning Connection: Potential for Ibiden and Renesas to Be Seen as NVDA Plays

<ul>
<li>Further tech weakness in the US as markets brace for a more inflationary outlook.</li>
<li>Isetan Mitsukoshi numbers and new MTP should end recent underperformance.</li>
<li>Excessive Nintendo weakness on PIF cutting holdings a chance to buy ahead of new NSW announcement.</li>
</ul>


Further tech weakness in the US as markets brace for a more inflationary outlook.
Isetan Mitsukoshi numbers and new MTP should end recent underperformance.
Excessive Nintendo weakness on PIF cutting holdings a chance to buy ahead of new NSW announcement.


Japan Morning Connection: Softbank Further Consolidating Its AI Focus

Japan

Renesas Electronics Corporation researches, develops, designs and manufactures electronic components such as semiconductors and integrated devices.

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Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. KEPCO's share decline is the second-highest among recent large placements. The average large...

Arun George

KEPCO (9503 JP): Index Implications of US$3.5bn Primary + Secondary Offering

KEPCO is down 22.8% from the time of the announcement of the primary + secondary offering. The stock is now back to where it was at the start of...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Potential for Ibiden and Renesas to Be Seen as NVDA Plays

AMAT numbers impact US SPE which should effect in Japan, Trump's Energy Secretary nomination may benefit oil/gas short term, Ibiden and Renesas...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank Further Consolidating Its AI Focus

Tech weaknes continues in the US, new numbers from Isetan Mitsukoshi should end recent underperformance and Nintendo weakness offer opportunities...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. KEPCO's share decline is the second-highest among recent large placements. The average large...

Arun George

KEPCO (9503 JP): Index Implications of US$3.5bn Primary + Secondary Offering

KEPCO is down 22.8% from the time of the announcement of the primary + secondary offering. The stock is now back to where it was at the start of...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

​Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Potential for Ibiden and Renesas to Be Seen as NVDA Plays

​AMAT numbers impact US SPE which should effect in Japan, Trump's Energy Secretary nomination may benefit oil/gas short term, Ibiden and Renesas...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank Further Consolidating Its AI Focus

Tech weaknes continues in the US, new numbers from Isetan Mitsukoshi should end recent underperformance and Nintendo weakness offer opportunities...

Andrew Jackson

Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

AMAT numbers impact US SPE which should effect in Japan, Trump's Energy Secretary nomination may benefit oil/gas short term, Ibiden and Renesas...