Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector</li>
<li>Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months</li>
<li>Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle</li>
</ul>


There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector
Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months
Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2023-02-24/RQ0E9ADWLU6801" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> out Friday evening suggests the JIP Consortium funding plan submitted as the final package to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> is no longer secure.</li>
<li>Apparently <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orix-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9936:1" rel="noopener">Orix Corp (8591 JP)</a>, which with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a> was planning to invest equity and pref for total ¥300bn, wants to lower its investment to ¥200bn.</li>
<li>Other equity tranche participants apparently want to reduce exposure as well. </li>
</ul>


A Bloomberg article out Friday evening suggests the JIP Consortium funding plan submitted as the final package to Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) is no longer secure.
Apparently Orix Corp (8591 JP), which with ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP) was planning to invest equity and pref for total ¥300bn, wants to lower its investment to ¥200bn.
Other equity tranche participants apparently want to reduce exposure as well. 


Toshiba (6502) - Funding Unsecured!  (This Is Getting To Be a Habit)

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Strong numbers for Credo after-hours sets a better tone for connectivity related plays.</li>
<li>FA plays may be back in focus on news Yaskawa and Softbank as well as Fanuc and NVDA announce AI focused tie-ups.</li>
<li>Expect a weakish start in Japan but tech weakness yesterday may soften blow.</li>
</ul>


Strong numbers for Credo after-hours sets a better tone for connectivity related plays.
FA plays may be back in focus on news Yaskawa and Softbank as well as Fanuc and NVDA announce AI focused tie-ups.
Expect a weakish start in Japan but tech weakness yesterday may soften blow.


Japan Morning Connection: Crypto Selloff Spooks Risk Assets Although Most Recover in the PM

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$0.8 billion secondary offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyoda-gosei-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20125:1" rel="noopener">Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)</a>’s shares have declined 4.9% to the undisturbed price of JPY3,754 per share (20 November).</li>
<li>It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Toyoda's share decline is better than the median of recent large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$0.8 billion secondary offering, Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)’s shares have declined 4.9% to the undisturbed price of JPY3,754 per share (20 November).
It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Toyoda's share decline is better than the median of recent large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

<ul>
<li>Homebuilders surging on prospect for lower rates to help Sumi Forestry and Sekisui House.</li>
<li>NVDA and AMD down as rivalry with Google for AI chips heats up.</li>
<li>Bain looking to take around 13%/36mm shs of their holding in Kioxia off the table in a block trade this Friday.</li>
</ul>


Homebuilders surging on prospect for lower rates to help Sumi Forestry and Sekisui House.
NVDA and AMD down as rivalry with Google for AI chips heats up.
Bain looking to take around 13%/36mm shs of their holding in Kioxia off the table in a block trade this Friday.


Japan Morning Connection: New Potential Fed Chairman Likely to Add Another Voice for 50 Bps Cut

Japan

Renesas Electronics Corporation researches, develops, designs and manufactures electronic components such as semiconductors and integrated devices.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Toshiba (6502) - Funding Unsecured! (This Is Getting To Be a Habit)

An article out Friday after the close suggests Orix and other JIP equity consortium partners want to reduce their investment size. It's not clear...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Crypto Selloff Spooks Risk Assets Although Most Recover in the PM

Some rotation into defensive sectors in response to crypto weakness. AI connectivity name Credo is surging post-mkt, setting a better mood for JP...

Andrew Jackson

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: New Potential Fed Chairman Likely to Add Another Voice for 50 Bps Cut

NVDA and AMD fell lower with competition in AI chips, Bain plans to sell part of Kioxia stake, Socionext seems to have lost connection as a Google...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

​The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Toshiba (6502) - Funding Unsecured! (This Is Getting To Be a Habit)

An article out Friday after the close suggests Orix and other JIP equity consortium partners want to reduce their investment size. It's not clear...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Crypto Selloff Spooks Risk Assets Although Most Recover in the PM

Some rotation into defensive sectors in response to crypto weakness. AI connectivity name Credo is surging post-mkt, setting a better mood for JP...

Andrew Jackson

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: New Potential Fed Chairman Likely to Add Another Voice for 50 Bps Cut

NVDA and AMD fell lower with competition in AI chips, Bain plans to sell part of Kioxia stake, Socionext seems to have lost connection as a Google...

Andrew Jackson

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...