Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Six new deals this week! TOs for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agro-kanesho-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17621:1" rel="noopener">Agro Kanesho (4955 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nishimoto-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44086:1" rel="noopener">Nishimoto (9260 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chita-kogyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9882:1" rel="noopener">Chita Kogyo (5993 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill (3978 JP)</a>. Also <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-logistics-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35733:1" rel="noopener">Silk Logistics (SLH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avarga-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13105:1" rel="noopener">Avarga (AVARGA SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASMPT (522 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Six new deals this week! TOs for Agro Kanesho (4955 JP), Nishimoto (9260 JP), Chita Kogyo (5993 JP), Macromill (3978 JP). Also Silk Logistics (SLH AU) and Avarga (AVARGA SP).
Key updates took place on: Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), ASMPT (522 HK), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), Seven &amp; I (3382 JP), and Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Agro Kanesho, Nishimoto, Chita Kogyo, Macromill, Silk Logistics, Avarga, MAHB

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 8th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD25.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Macquarie, Aristocrat Leisure, Evolution Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 8th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD25.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Macquarie, Aristocrat Leisure, Evolution Mining.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 8th): National Australia Bank, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Macquarie

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a> selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16063:1" rel="noopener">Seven Bank (8410 JP)</a> is obvious. It has been obvious. It is non-core. It's always been non-core. It was made  clear in previous Strategy announcements,</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a>'s premium to NAV is unjustified. However reversing the stub has not been going to plan of late, as the NAV premium continues to widen.</li>
<li>Mavcom HAS approved the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a> deal. But still welcomes public consultation. So, approved or not?</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I (3382 JP) selling Seven Bank (8410 JP) is obvious. It has been obvious. It is non-core. It's always been non-core. It was made  clear in previous Strategy announcements,

PCCW Ltd (8 HK)'s premium to NAV is unjustified. However reversing the stub has not been going to plan of late, as the NAV premium continues to widen.
Mavcom HAS approved the Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK) deal. But still welcomes public consultation. So, approved or not?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I/Seven Bank, PCCW, Malaysia Airports, I'rom Group

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> has offered a court-enforceable undertaking to alleviate preliminary anti-competition concerns raised by ACCC in relation to its proposed merger with CWG.</li>
<li>Sigma will let its franchisees who entered their franchising arrangements prior to January 1, 2024 to terminate their franchise agreements with Sigma without any penalty, for the next three years.</li>
<li>The company will also limit the usage of confidential information from its wholesale customers and franchisees for the next three years. Final decision of ACCC is expected on November 7.</li>
</ul>



Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) has offered a court-enforceable undertaking to alleviate preliminary anti-competition concerns raised by ACCC in relation to its proposed merger with CWG.
Sigma will let its franchisees who entered their franchising arrangements prior to January 1, 2024 to terminate their franchise agreements with Sigma without any penalty, for the next three years.
The company will also limit the usage of confidential information from its wholesale customers and franchisees for the next three years. Final decision of ACCC is expected on November 7.


Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Possibility of Merger with CWG Is Still Alive

<ul>
<li>For the month of October 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~26%. The average premium YTD is ~42%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of October 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~26%. The average premium YTD is ~42%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

Australia

Sigma Healthcare Limited wholesales and distributes pharmaceutical products. The Company offers prescription, over-the-counter, and generic drugs. Sigma Healthcare serves customers in Australia.

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Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Agro Kanesho, Nishimoto, Chita Kogyo, Macromill, Silk Logistics, Avarga, MAHB

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 8th): National Australia Bank, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Macquarie

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Sigma Pharmaceuticals,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I/Seven Bank, PCCW, Malaysia Airports, I'rom Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett