Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenues of $2.84 billion, at the upper end of the guided range, up 10.5% QoQ and up 18.3% YoY</li>
<li>Q424 revenue guide of 2.95 billion, plus or minus $150 million. This represents a ~4% QoQ increase and a 18.6% increase YoY</li>
<li>CEO Rick Wallace: "for years now, we've really had primarily one major player at the leading edge”. That's an interesting comment to make.</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenues of $2.84 billion, at the upper end of the guided range, up 10.5% QoQ and up 18.3% YoY
Q424 revenue guide of 2.95 billion, plus or minus $150 million. This represents a ~4% QoQ increase and a 18.6% increase YoY
CEO Rick Wallace: "for years now, we've really had primarily one major player at the leading edge”. That's an interesting comment to make.


KLAC Q324. Heavy Emphasis On Leading Edge For Growth In 2025

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenues of $6.8 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 17% QoQ and up18% YoY.</li>
<li>Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, plus or minus $300 million. At the midpoint of the revenue range, this represents YoY growth of ~22% and sequential growth of ~10%.</li>
<li>AMD's share price is now roughly the same as it was at the start of 2022.</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenues of $6.8 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 17% QoQ and up18% YoY.
Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, plus or minus $300 million. At the midpoint of the revenue range, this represents YoY growth of ~22% and sequential growth of ~10%.
AMD's share price is now roughly the same as it was at the start of 2022.


Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We screen for Global companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Global equity funds.</li>
<li>Low Positioning coupled with Negative Momentum:  Intel Corporation and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.</li>
<li>High Positioning coupled with High Momentum:  Amphenol Corporation and Iberdrola SA </li>
</ul>


We screen for Global companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Global equity funds.
Low Positioning coupled with Negative Momentum:  Intel Corporation and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.
High Positioning coupled with High Momentum:  Amphenol Corporation and Iberdrola SA 


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +23% Premium; Potential to Establish New Higher Trading Range?</li>
<li>UMC: -0.2% Discount; But ADR Headroom Continues to Aggressively Decrease</li>
<li>ASE: +2.2% Premium; Taiwan Shares' Short Interest Remains Near Highs</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +23% Premium; Potential to Establish New Higher Trading Range?
UMC: -0.2% Discount; But ADR Headroom Continues to Aggressively Decrease
ASE: +2.2% Premium; Taiwan Shares' Short Interest Remains Near Highs


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Establishing New Higher Range?; UMC's Aggressive Headroom Decline

<ul>
<li>The Oregonian reports that Intel has named a "long-term" successor for their Technology Development role, currently occupied by Dr. Ann Kelleher</li>
<li>It comes against the backdrop of ever increasing outsourcing to TSMC, despite the fact that Intel 3 and Intel 4 are supposedly in high volume manufacturing mode at Fab34 </li>
<li>The move is likely intended to provide greater scrutiny into what's happening within the Technology Development division, a classic "2-in-a-box" strategy within Intel.</li>
</ul>


The Oregonian reports that Intel has named a "long-term" successor for their Technology Development role, currently occupied by Dr. Ann Kelleher
It comes against the backdrop of ever increasing outsourcing to TSMC, despite the fact that Intel 3 and Intel 4 are supposedly in high volume manufacturing mode at Fab34 
The move is likely intended to provide greater scrutiny into what's happening within the Technology Development division, a classic "2-in-a-box" strategy within Intel.


Intel Names "Long Term" Successor To Technology Development Chief. Why & Why Now?

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

KLAC Q324. Heavy Emphasis On Leading Edge For Growth In 2025

Q324 $2.84 billion, +10.5% QoQ & +18.3% YoY. Q424 guide $2.95 billion, +4% QoQ & +18.6% YoY. CEO states "for years now, we've really had primarily...

William Keating

AMD Q324 Earnings Review

Q324 revenue $6.8 billion, +17% QoQ, +18% YoY. Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, +10% QoQ, +22% YoY. Share fall 8% after hours, now trading back at early...

William Keating

Global Funds: Extreme Stocks

In this report, we utilize our Global fund holdings database to screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Establishing New Higher Range?; UMC's Aggressive Headroom Decline

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Names "Long Term" Successor To Technology Development Chief. Why & Why Now?

Intel names long-term successor for Technology Development role amid increasing outsourcing to TSMC, possibly signaling a desire for greater...

William Keating

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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KLAC Q324. Heavy Emphasis On Leading Edge For Growth In 2025

Q324 $2.84 billion, +10.5% QoQ & +18.3% YoY. Q424 guide $2.95 billion, +4% QoQ & +18.6% YoY. CEO states "for years now, we've really had primarily...

William Keating

AMD Q324 Earnings Review

Q324 revenue $6.8 billion, +17% QoQ, +18% YoY. Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, +10% QoQ, +22% YoY. Share fall 8% after hours, now trading back at early...

William Keating

Global Funds: Extreme Stocks

In this report, we utilize our Global fund holdings database to screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Establishing New Higher Range?; UMC's Aggressive Headroom Decline

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Names "Long Term" Successor To Technology Development Chief. Why & Why Now?

​Intel names long-term successor for Technology Development role amid increasing outsourcing to TSMC, possibly signaling a desire for greater...

William Keating

Intel names long-term successor for Technology Development role amid increasing outsourcing to TSMC, possibly signaling a desire for greater...