Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea's majority party plans to amend the Capital Markets Act to base listed companies' merger ratios on intrinsic rather than market value, dubbed the "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law."</li>
<li>Other conglomerates, like Hanwha and Hyundai Motor Group, may execute mergers just before this amendment.</li>
<li>We should expect shareholder-favorable merger ratios. So, we should position in such companies before announcements, ideally just before the new amendment's enforcement.</li>
</ul>


Korea's majority party plans to amend the Capital Markets Act to base listed companies' merger ratios on intrinsic rather than market value, dubbed the "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law."
Other conglomerates, like Hanwha and Hyundai Motor Group, may execute mergers just before this amendment.
We should expect shareholder-favorable merger ratios. So, we should position in such companies before announcements, ideally just before the new amendment's enforcement.


Trading Opportunities Arising from the Enactment of The "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law"

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD572.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,198mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We estimate the inflows decreased by 1.0% WoW and highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD572.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,198mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We estimate the inflows decreased by 1.0% WoW and highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 12th): Samsung Electronics

<ul>
<li>Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.</li>
<li>There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.</li>
<li>While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it's important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.</li>
</ul>


Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.
There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.
While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it's important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.


Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis's Stock Dividend Event

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In the past several days, the South Korean Presidential Office has announced that it is pushing for a comprehensive inheritance tax reforms.</li>
<li>Although the Presidential Office mentioned it is pushing to reduce highest inheritance tax rates from 60% to 30%, the more likely scenario is to reduce this rate to about 50%.</li>
<li>The lump sum personal deduction of 500 million won or inheritance tax which has been maintained for nearly 27 years could be doubled to about 1 billion won or more. </li>
</ul>


In the past several days, the South Korean Presidential Office has announced that it is pushing for a comprehensive inheritance tax reforms.
Although the Presidential Office mentioned it is pushing to reduce highest inheritance tax rates from 60% to 30%, the more likely scenario is to reduce this rate to about 50%.
The lump sum personal deduction of 500 million won or inheritance tax which has been maintained for nearly 27 years could be doubled to about 1 billion won or more. 


Korean Government Is Pushing for a Comprehensive Inheritance Reforms - Will They Pass or Fail?

<ul>
<li>Senior Presidential Secretary said this morning that a tax reform, including reducing inheritance tax rates to the OECD average, will be disclosed in late July with the tax reform plan.</li>
<li>Stocks sensitive to reduced inheritance tax, notably Hyundai Motor Group subsidiaries like Hyundai Glovis and Hyundai Motor, could see significant attention amid governance restructuring efforts under Chung Eui-sun.</li>
<li>Retroactive application and its extent may impact markets, potentially affecting groups like Samsung, influencing diverse investment strategies based on specifics.</li>
</ul>


Senior Presidential Secretary said this morning that a tax reform, including reducing inheritance tax rates to the OECD average, will be disclosed in late July with the tax reform plan.
Stocks sensitive to reduced inheritance tax, notably Hyundai Motor Group subsidiaries like Hyundai Glovis and Hyundai Motor, could see significant attention amid governance restructuring efforts under Chung Eui-sun.
Retroactive application and its extent may impact markets, potentially affecting groups like Samsung, influencing diverse investment strategies based on specifics.


Unexpected Inheritance Tax Rate Reduction Included in July Tax Reform: Impact on Value-Up Trading

South Korea

Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd. provides domestic and international logistic services. The Company's services include domestic transportation, storage, packaging, vehicle logistic, and logistic consulting.  GLOVIS also runs automobile auction market for used vehicle.

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Hyundai Glovis (086280 KS)

Trading Opportunities Arising from the Enactment of The "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law"

This post explores trading opportunities expected from the upcoming "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law," as labeled by the local market.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 12th): Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week. We estimated the inflows to be USD 2.2 bn and highlighted foreign holding changes in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis's Stock Dividend Event

This post analyzes the potential recurrence of local flow trade patterns, mainly driven by local proprietary traders, in Hyundai Glovis's 100%...

Sanghyun Park

Korean Government Is Pushing for a Comprehensive Inheritance Reforms - Will They Pass or Fail?

Although the South Korean Presidential Office mentioned it is pushing to reduce highest inheritance tax rates from 60% to 30%, the more likely...

Douglas Kim

Unexpected Inheritance Tax Rate Reduction Included in July Tax Reform: Impact on Value-Up Trading

Senior Presidential Secretary Seong Tae-yoon confirmed this morning on KBS that reducing inheritance tax rates to 30% will be disclosed in late...

Sanghyun Park

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