Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for 8 prominent Hong Kong stocks and the benchmark index.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In contrast, Alibaba’s IV remains rich, while Hang Seng Index IV is cheap across the curve, offering attractive hedge entry points.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for 8 prominent Hong Kong stocks and the benchmark index.

Highlights: In contrast, Alibaba’s IV remains rich, while Hang Seng Index IV is cheap across the curve, offering attractive hedge entry points.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: Diverging Signals Across Alibaba (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK) & The HSI

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's service sector is growing faster than manufacturing and construction, especially the business-to-business services, like IT Services, cloud services leasing and other business services.</li>
<li>Among merchandize retail sectors, household and communication appliances, sports and recreational goods and gold and silver jewelry are growing the fastest. Some segments of food are enjoying healthy growth too.</li>
<li>From a universe of 35 stocks in these sectors, we screen our favored 10, based on valuations more than justified by forecast earnings growth, high ROE and consensus Buy rating. </li>
</ul>


China's service sector is growing faster than manufacturing and construction, especially the business-to-business services, like IT Services, cloud services leasing and other business services.
Among merchandize retail sectors, household and communication appliances, sports and recreational goods and gold and silver jewelry are growing the fastest. Some segments of food are enjoying healthy growth too.
From a universe of 35 stocks in these sectors, we screen our favored 10, based on valuations more than justified by forecast earnings growth, high ROE and consensus Buy rating. 


How to Play the Chinese Domestic Economic Drivers

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the September batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Both Tencent and Netease received approval for one game in September. </li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the September batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
Both Tencent and Netease received approval for one game in September. 


Tencent/Netease: Both Received One Approval in September

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Implied volatility has broadly risen across most, but not all, HK stocks. Front-month expiries remain historically cheap amid a steepening curve. Opportunities endure, though fewer than in recent weeks.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich.

Highlights: Implied volatility has broadly risen across most, but not all, HK stocks. Front-month expiries remain historically cheap amid a steepening curve. Opportunities endure, though fewer than in recent weeks.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


Volatility Cones Spotlight Hedging in Tencent (700 HK) And More

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Will Semiconductor / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
Omnivision (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/will-semiconductor-co-ltd-shan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28274:1" rel="noopener">Will Semiconductor 603501 CH)</a>  (OVIC, 603501 CH), a semiconductor company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>OVIC, is the world’s third largest smartphone CIS and the largest automotive CIS provider with a market share of 32.9% based on revenue in 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Omnivision (Will Semiconductor 603501 CH)  (OVIC, 603501 CH), a semiconductor company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
OVIC, is the world’s third largest smartphone CIS and the largest automotive CIS provider with a market share of 32.9% based on revenue in 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (Will Semicon) A/H Listing - Earnings Have Been Recovering

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: Diverging Signals Across Alibaba (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK) & The HSI

Volatility cones reveal contrasting signals — Alibaba’s IV stays rich, Tencent trades nearly cheap, and the Hang Seng Index shows low IV,...

Gaudenz Schneider

How to Play the Chinese Domestic Economic Drivers

As we wrote in Feb-25 (Asian Equities: It's China's Year: Our China Twelve in the Year of the Snake), 2025 is indeed turning out China's year. Of...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Tencent/Netease: Both Received One Approval in September

China approves September batch of games at a higher rate than in 2023, with Tencent and Netease each receiving approval for one game.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Volatility Cones Spotlight Hedging in Tencent (700 HK) And More

Tencent and other major HK stocks trade with historically low front-month volatility, offering potential hedging opportunities as the curve...

Gaudenz Schneider

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (Will Semicon) A/H Listing - Earnings Have Been Recovering

Omnivision (603501 CH), a semiconductor company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. It has filed its PHIP, we had looked at its...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: Diverging Signals Across Alibaba (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK) & The HSI

Volatility cones reveal contrasting signals — Alibaba’s IV stays rich, Tencent trades nearly cheap, and the Hang Seng Index shows low IV,...

Gaudenz Schneider

How to Play the Chinese Domestic Economic Drivers

As we wrote in Feb-25 (Asian Equities: It's China's Year: Our China Twelve in the Year of the Snake), 2025 is indeed turning out China's year. Of...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Tencent/Netease: Both Received One Approval in September

​China approves September batch of games at a higher rate than in 2023, with Tencent and Netease each receiving approval for one game.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Volatility Cones Spotlight Hedging in Tencent (700 HK) And More

Tencent and other major HK stocks trade with historically low front-month volatility, offering potential hedging opportunities as the curve...

Gaudenz Schneider

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (Will Semicon) A/H Listing - Earnings Have Been Recovering

Omnivision (603501 CH), a semiconductor company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. It has filed its PHIP, we had looked at its...

Sumeet Singh

China approves September batch of games at a higher rate than in 2023, with Tencent and Netease each receiving approval for one game.