Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> announced in-specie dividends of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> (US$15bn+) in 2021 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> (US$20bn) in 2022.</li>
<li>With the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> Board meeting on 15 November to approve Q3 results and considering the payment of a dividend, the pattern could repeat this year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> owns stakes of US$1bn+ in 10 listed companies. We take a look at the stocks that could be next in line to be paid as in-specie dividends.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) announced in-specie dividends of JD.com (9618 HK) (US$15bn+) in 2021 and Meituan (3690 HK) (US$20bn) in 2022.
With the Tencent (700 HK) Board meeting on 15 November to approve Q3 results and considering the payment of a dividend, the pattern could repeat this year.

Tencent (700 HK) owns stakes of US$1bn+ in 10 listed companies. We take a look at the stocks that could be next in line to be paid as in-specie dividends.


Tencent (700 HK): Board Meets Next Week; In-Specie Dividend Candidates

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe advertising revenue will grow rapidly and game revenue will accelerate.</li>
<li>We also believe EPS will decrease YoY due to high “other gains” in 3Q22.</li>
<li>We expect the stock price will have an upside of 58% for year end 2024.</li>
</ul>


We believe advertising revenue will grow rapidly and game revenue will accelerate.
We also believe EPS will decrease YoY due to high “other gains” in 3Q22.
We expect the stock price will have an upside of 58% for year end 2024.


Tencent (700 HK) 3Q23 Earnings Preview: No Concern on EPS Decline, 58% Upside

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Cello World Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Cello World raised around US$230m in its India IPO and will begin trading soon.</li>
<li>Cello World (CW) is an Indian consumer products company. The firm is a leading company in the consumerware market in India.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics</li>
</ul>


Cello World raised around US$230m in its India IPO and will begin trading soon.
Cello World (CW) is an Indian consumer products company. The firm is a leading company in the consumerware market in India.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics


Cello World IPO Trading - Very Strong Institutional Subscription

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv-2e2a2230-64b0-4044-b797-a3880fcb487a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28301:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX SJ)</a> during this week is worth flagging – both counters have outperformed the underlying portfolio, narrowing both discounts notably.</li>
<li>Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value continues to push new lows, closing at 9.9% yesterday.</li>
<li>For the week up to the close yesterday, Naspers is up 4.1%, Prosus is up 2.3% and Tencent is down 1.4% in HKD (down 3.7% in ZAR). </li>
</ul>


The performance of Naspers (NPN SJ) and Prosus NV (PRX SJ) during this week is worth flagging – both counters have outperformed the underlying portfolio, narrowing both discounts notably.
Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value continues to push new lows, closing at 9.9% yesterday.
For the week up to the close yesterday, Naspers is up 4.1%, Prosus is up 2.3% and Tencent is down 1.4% in HKD (down 3.7% in ZAR). 


Naspers & Prosus: Discounts Narrow This Week, the Great Rotation from Prosus to Naspers Playing Out?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows the last four weeks clearly indicate a momentum move. The top net sells are all down. The top buys are all up.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> were the top net SOUTHBOUND inflows as SOUTHBOUND bought HK$8.515bn this past week.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
SOUTHBOUND flows the last four weeks clearly indicate a momentum move. The top net sells are all down. The top buys are all up.

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) were the top net SOUTHBOUND inflows as SOUTHBOUND bought HK$8.515bn this past week.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 3 Nov 23); CNOOC & China Mobile AGAIN See Outflows, SMIC & Xiaomi See Buys

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent (700 HK): Board Meets Next Week; In-Specie Dividend Candidates

Tencent could make it a hat-trick of special in-specie dividend distributions. After JD.com and Meituan, Kuaishou could be next. Or it could be...

Brian Freitas

Tencent (700 HK) 3Q23 Earnings Preview: No Concern on EPS Decline, 58% Upside

Advertising revenue will grow rapidly, and game revenue will accelerate. EPS will decrease YoY due to high “other gains” in 2Q23. The stock price...

Ming Lu

Cello World IPO Trading - Very Strong Institutional Subscription

Cello World raised around US$230m in its India IPO and will begin trading soon. In this note we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Naspers & Prosus: Discounts Narrow This Week, the Great Rotation from Prosus to Naspers Playing Out?

A recap of how the discounts traded last week. Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value continues to push new lows, both counters outperformed...

DMA

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 3 Nov 23); CNOOC & China Mobile AGAIN See Outflows, SMIC & Xiaomi See Buys

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND flows saw net inflows for the 15th week in a row with +HKD 8.5bn. H/A pairs saw Hs outperform their As by 56bp. Flows are...

Travis Lundy

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