Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.</li>
<li>Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. </li>
<li>Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.</li>
</ul>


As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.
Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. 
Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.


Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a>, HSIII Index, HSHKBIO Index and HSCI Index post market close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$54.3bn (US$6.9bn) with big impact in a lot of names.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto</a> if added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart</a> if added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics</a> due to a FAF increase.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index, HSIII Index, HSHKBIO Index and HSCI Index post market close tomorrow.
The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$54.3bn (US$6.9bn) with big impact in a lot of names.
The largest inflows will be in Geely Auto if added to the HSTECH, Pop Mart if added to the HSCEI and HSI, and Horizon Robotics due to a FAF increase.


Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Tomorrow; Potential Changes & Updated Flows

<ul>
<li>After buying Asian equities for three months, FIIs sold Asia in the three weeks of August: notably India (-$2.53bn) and Korea (-$298m). Taiwan (+1.6bn) was the only large market bought.</li>
<li>It's too early to call a trend change. Our FII gauge of 6-month cumulative buying as percentage of the market's capitalization indicates that most markets are neither overbought nor oversold.</li>
<li>Even though FIIs have bought the large Asian markets lately, none of them are overbought. Taiwan's FII gauge is relatively closer to the upper limit. Indonesia is unequivocally oversold.</li>
</ul>


After buying Asian equities for three months, FIIs sold Asia in the three weeks of August: notably India (-$2.53bn) and Korea (-$298m). Taiwan (+1.6bn) was the only large market bought.
It's too early to call a trend change. Our FII gauge of 6-month cumulative buying as percentage of the market's capitalization indicates that most markets are neither overbought nor oversold.
Even though FIIs have bought the large Asian markets lately, none of them are overbought. Taiwan's FII gauge is relatively closer to the upper limit. Indonesia is unequivocally oversold.


Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sicc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36273:1" rel="noopener">SICC (688234 CH)</a>, a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, raised around US$260m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>In terms of market share, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan, based on 2024 sales, its market share was at 16.7%.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, raised around US$260m in its H-share listing.
In terms of market share, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan, based on 2024 sales, its market share was at 16.7%.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


SICC A/H Trading - Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand

<ul>
<li>Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 5 September.</li>
<li>We highlight 6 stocks that have a higher probability of being added to the index. With the index committee entitled to a lot of discretion, there will be differences.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL</a> completes 3 months of listing just prior to the review meeting date and is a dark horse candidate, though the committee could let the stock season for another quarter.</li>
</ul>


Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 5 September.
We highlight 6 stocks that have a higher probability of being added to the index. With the index committee entitled to a lot of discretion, there will be differences.

CATL completes 3 months of listing just prior to the review meeting date and is a dark horse candidate, though the committee could let the stock season for another quarter.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for Sep25

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Tomorrow; Potential Changes & Updated Flows

Hang Seng announces after market close on Friday. The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated at HK$54.3bn. There is positioning in the...

Brian Freitas

Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

SICC A/H Trading - Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand

SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, raised around US$260m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for Sep25

We highlight 6 potential adds to the HSI in Sep. CATL has an outside chance of inclusion. Estimated turnover is less than 3% and the trade is...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

​Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Tomorrow; Potential Changes & Updated Flows

Hang Seng announces after market close on Friday. The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated at HK$54.3bn. There is positioning in the...

Brian Freitas

Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

​FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

SICC A/H Trading - Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand

SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, raised around US$260m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for Sep25

We highlight 6 potential adds to the HSI in Sep. CATL has an outside chance of inclusion. Estimated turnover is less than 3% and the trade is...

Brian Freitas

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...