Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek's (DS) own traffic declined as rivals launching white-label DS service but DS published research paper showing unmatched profit margin of 85%;</li>
<li>JD's take out initiative update: We think JD is serious but its effort will be in vain. We think JD.com knows it too.</li>
<li>Shopee and Lazada colluded to raise commission in SE Asia, benefiting both with no loss of market share.</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek's (DS) own traffic declined as rivals launching white-label DS service but DS published research paper showing unmatched profit margin of 85%;
JD's take out initiative update: We think JD is serious but its effort will be in vain. We think JD.com knows it too.
Shopee and Lazada colluded to raise commission in SE Asia, benefiting both with no loss of market share.


[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 9/52]: DeepSeek (DS) New Research Paper Showed 85% Profit Margin

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Cryptocurrencies / In Depth: How cryptocurrency gets used to move billions of yuan in and out of China</li><li>Corruption /: New probe into former Hubei leader brought down by Covid pandemic</li><li>Trade /: Washington wants to seal new trade deal with Beijing, ex-U.S. Treasury Secretary says</li></ul>

Cryptocurrencies / In Depth: How cryptocurrency gets used to move billions of yuan in and out of ChinaCorruption /: New probe into former Hubei leader brought down by Covid pandemicTrade /: Washington wants to seal new trade deal with Beijing, ex-U.S. Treasury Secretary says

CX Daily: How Cryptocurrency Gets Used to Move Billions of Yuan in and out of China 

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Despite the chip market's 19% overall 2024 Y/Y increase, the only real growth was in semiconductors for AI applications.  A turn in the AI business could cause a collapse.</li>
<li>Outside of AI, growth was significantly more modest at 4.8%, which is good compared to the industry's historical growth rate of 3.9%, but is nowhere near the 19% overall number.</li>
<li>The US' trade sanctions appear to be having some impact on chip shipments to China vs. the Americas, but this may be an illusion.</li>
</ul>


Despite the chip market's 19% overall 2024 Y/Y increase, the only real growth was in semiconductors for AI applications.  A turn in the AI business could cause a collapse.
Outside of AI, growth was significantly more modest at 4.8%, which is good compared to the industry's historical growth rate of 3.9%, but is nowhere near the 19% overall number.
The US' trade sanctions appear to be having some impact on chip shipments to China vs. the Americas, but this may be an illusion.


What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 4Q24, Bilibili’s total revenue increased by 22% YoY and its largest business, value-added services, increased by 24% YoY.</li>
<li>SAIC president, Mr. Jia, removed 63 mid-level managers in the passenger car department.</li>
<li>Mengniu raised a profit warning that net profit will plunge by 95% - 99% in 2024.</li>
</ul>


In 4Q24, Bilibili’s total revenue increased by 22% YoY and its largest business, value-added services, increased by 24% YoY.
SAIC president, Mr. Jia, removed 63 mid-level managers in the passenger car department.
Mengniu raised a profit warning that net profit will plunge by 95% - 99% in 2024.


China Retail Weekly (24 Feb 2025): BILI, SAIC, NIO, Mengniu, JD, IQiyi

<ul>
<li>After JD.com announced it would insure catering riders with social security, Meituan followed suit. Then JD clarified its intension was only to insure a newly established rider force from scratch; </li>
<li>Trump announced American First Investment Policy. Frankly we don't see anything new. It will affect sentiment, maybe;</li>
<li>SASAC calls for SOE's to adopt AI. This is a real positive to Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


After JD.com announced it would insure catering riders with social security, Meituan followed suit. Then JD clarified its intension was only to insure a newly established rider force from scratch; 
Trump announced American First Investment Policy. Frankly we don't see anything new. It will affect sentiment, maybe;
SASAC calls for SOE's to adopt AI. This is a real positive to Alibaba.


[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (BIDU US)

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 9/52]: DeepSeek (DS) New Research Paper Showed 85% Profit Margin

DeepSeek claimed profit margin of 85%, JD's take out initiative doubted, Shopee and Lazada collude to raise commission in SE Asia.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: How Cryptocurrency Gets Used to Move Billions of Yuan in and out of China

Cryptocurrencies / In Depth: How cryptocurrency gets used to move billions of yuan in and out of China When police in East China’s Shandong...

Caixin Global

What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Jim Handy

China Retail Weekly (24 Feb 2025): BILI, SAIC, NIO, Mengniu, JD, IQiyi

In 4Q24, Bilibili’s total revenue increased by 22% YoY. SAIC removed 63 managers in the passenger car department. Mengtniu raised a profit warning.

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 9/52]: DeepSeek (DS) New Research Paper Showed 85% Profit Margin

DeepSeek claimed profit margin of 85%, JD's take out initiative doubted, Shopee and Lazada collude to raise commission in SE Asia.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: How Cryptocurrency Gets Used to Move Billions of Yuan in and out of China

Cryptocurrencies / In Depth: How cryptocurrency gets used to move billions of yuan in and out of China When police in East China’s Shandong...

Caixin Global

What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

​The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Jim Handy

China Retail Weekly (24 Feb 2025): BILI, SAIC, NIO, Mengniu, JD, IQiyi

In 4Q24, Bilibili’s total revenue increased by 22% YoY. SAIC removed 63 managers in the passenger car department. Mengtniu raised a profit warning.

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

​JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...